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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SPDN

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.6% at 15-min n=126 2022-01-14 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jun 08, 2016
Total alerts
126
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
51.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.68%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPDN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 47/63

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.82%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 64/53

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +0.77%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 64/54

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +2.26%
Worst: -1.10%
Trades: 62/63

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -4.60%
Trades: 51/67

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.68%
Best MFE: +3.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, SPDN alerts reach +0.68% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.24%
Worst MAE: -1.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 126 alerts, SPDN typically reaches +0.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 126
Gap Up % 36.5%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPDN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $8.39 +0.15% +0.09% +0.09% -0.14% +0.33% +0.57% -0.26% +0.09% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $8.46 +0.12% +0.06% +0.13% +0.53% +0.12% +0.83% -0.12% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $8.44 -0.09% -0.09% -0.09% -0.21% +0.50% +0.62% -0.45% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $8.42 -0.00% +0.06% +0.00% +0.11% +0.36% +0.59% -0.12% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $8.41 +0.00% -0.12% -0.12% +0.12% -0.36% +0.36% -0.24% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $8.6 -0.00% +0.00% +0.17% +0.29% -0.12% +0.47% -0.12% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $8.59 +0.07% +0.23% +0.29% +0.23% +0.00% +0.47% +0.00% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $8.64 -0.03% +0.02% -0.15% +0.02% +0.60% +1.30% -0.32% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $8.61 +0.23% +0.23% +0.29% +0.47% +0.46% +0.70% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $8.64 -0.00% +0.00% -0.23% +0.00% -0.23% +0.12% -0.35% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $8.56 +0.12% +0.06% +0.06% -0.00% +0.23% +0.23% -0.12% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $8.64 +0.06% -0.00% +0.12% -0.17% +0.00% +0.23% -0.12% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $8.49 -0.18% -0.12% -0.18% +0.00% +0.24% +0.35% -0.24% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $8.53 -0.10% -0.33% -0.33% -0.22% -0.69% +0.02% -0.16% +0.02% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $8.53 -0.12% +0.00% +0.06% +0.23% +0.00% +0.23% -0.12% -0.12% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $8.54 +0.12% +0.18% +0.12% +0.23% +0.23% +0.35% +0.00% +0.12% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $8.46 +0.18% +0.27% +0.15% +0.22% +0.33% +0.45% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $8.41 -0.10% - +0.14% +0.14% +0.50% +0.50% -0.10% +0.02% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $8.75 -0.23% -0.00% +0.23% +0.57% -0.46% +0.80% -0.34% -0.11% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $8.85 -0.06% +0.06% -0.40% -0.40% -0.79% +0.11% -0.11% -0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 51.6% Baseline on SPDN

The 51.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SPDN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPDN Strategy →

Why Analyze SPDN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPDN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPDN historically offers an average upside of +0.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPDN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, SPDN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPDN performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.