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Latest signal:

SPHD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-02-13 → 2024-12-13

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Oct 18, 2012
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -0.39%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.12%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: -0.50%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: -0.30%
Worst: -0.79%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: -0.49%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: -0.09%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.29%
Best MFE: +0.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 53 min

On average, SPHD alerts reach +0.29% profit potential within 53 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.26%
Worst MAE: -0.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.12:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SPHD typically reaches +0.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How SPHD compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPHD: +0.09% Sector: -0.13% +0.22%
EOD Gain
SPHD: -0.45% Sector: +3.47% -3.92%
Avg MFE
SPHD: +0.29% Sector: +1.91% -1.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPHD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:26:41 $49.59 -0.39% -0.50% -0.73% -0.49% -0.36% +0.04% -0.83% -0.24% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:25:44 $43.44 +0.58% +0.12% -0.30% -0.64% -0.09% +0.60% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-02-13 09:25:29 $41.52 +0.10% -0.26% -0.79% -1.23% -0.89% +0.24% -0.05% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on SPHD

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPHD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPHD Strategy →

Why Analyze SPHD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPHD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPHD historically offers an average upside of +0.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPHD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SPHD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPHD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.