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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$SPHR

Trade-Ideas alerts 66.7% at 5-min n=6 2023-10-02 → 2026-05-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 6 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 09, 2020 🔗 www.sphereentertainmentco.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.61B 👥 Employees: 3,300
Sphere Entertainment Co is a live entertainment and media company. The firm creates, writes, casts, produces, and tours shows and events. The group has two reportable segments: Sphere and MSG Networks. Sphere is a next-generation entertainment medium, and MSG Networks operates two regional sports and entertainment networks, as well as a direct-to-consumer (DTC) and authenticated streaming product.
Total alerts
6
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.12%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.28%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPHR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +1.16%
Worst: -3.04%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.36%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -4.36%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +5.15%
Worst: -4.46%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.98%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +5.46%
Worst: -6.72%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +7.57%
Avg Loser: -3.13%
Best: +8.88%
Worst: -7.93%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.28%
Best MFE: +12.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, SPHR alerts reach +4.28% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.06%
Worst MAE: -5.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SPHR typically reaches +4.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 16.7%
Avg Gap -0.89%
Best Gap +1.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES

How SPHR compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPHR: -0.12% Sector: -0.32% +0.20%
EOD Gain
SPHR: +0.44% Sector: +1.49% -1.05%
Avg MFE
SPHR: +4.28% Sector: +6.53% -2.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $137.5 +1.09% -0.01% +0.74% -0.36% -3.03% +1.57% +1.09% +1.43% WIN
2024-08-09 09:29:03 $40.42 -0.54% -0.53% -1.71% +0.00% -0.47% +0.35% -1.76% -0.69% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:28:29 $45.4 -3.04% -4.36% -4.46% -6.72% -7.93% -3.04% -4.45% -3.83% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $28.7 +1.16% +1.24% +0.28% +2.51% +8.88% +9.09% -1.18% -0.14% WIN
2023-12-05 09:28:00 $28.72 +0.23% +0.02% -1.18% -1.17% -1.08% +5.54% -5.92% -2.02% WIN
2023-10-02 09:25:00 $38.86 +0.37% +2.83% +5.15% +5.46% +6.25% +12.18% -0.15% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SPHR Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, SPHR has -0.12% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making SPHR profitable.

🔧 Fix SPHR Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze SPHR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPHR historically offers an average upside of +4.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SPHR shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.79%) outweigh average wins (+0.71%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPHR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.12%). This suggests SPHR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.