Latest signal:
SPHR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-02 → 2024-08-09
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SPHR alerts reach +4.82% profit potential within 162 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, SPHR typically reaches +4.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
How SPHR compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SPHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-09 | 09:29:03 | $40.42 | -0.54% | -0.53% | -1.71% | - | -0.47% | +0.35% | -1.76% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:28:29 | $45.4 | -3.04% | -4.36% | -4.46% | -6.72% | -7.93% | -3.04% | -4.45% | -3.83% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:27:00 | $28.7 | +1.16% | +1.24% | +0.28% | +2.51% | +8.88% | +9.09% | -1.18% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-12-05 | 09:28:00 | $28.72 | +0.23% | +0.02% | -1.18% | -1.17% | -1.08% | +5.54% | -5.92% | -2.02% | WIN |
| 2023-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $38.86 | +0.37% | +2.83% | +5.15% | +5.46% | +6.25% | +12.18% | -0.15% | -0.05% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SPHR Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, SPHR has -0.36% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SPHR profitable.
🔧 Fix SPHR Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SPHR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPHR historically offers an average upside of +4.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SPHR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, SPHR shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.79%) outweigh average wins (+0.59%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SPHR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.36%). This suggests SPHR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.