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SPLG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 232 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-12

📊
232
Total Alerts
🎯
56.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.10%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +0.46%
Worst: -0.42%
Trades: 129/85

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.89%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 109/117

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 115/112

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 124/105

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 131/99

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.78%
Best MFE: +5.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 194 min

On average, SPLG alerts reach +0.78% profit potential within 194 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.31%
Worst MAE: -2.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 42 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 232 alerts, SPLG typically reaches +0.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 232
Gap Up % 46.6%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPLG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:57 $70.5 -0.10% +0.13% +0.35% +0.41% +0.68% +0.87% -0.11% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:26 $71.06 -0.07% -0.17% -0.11% +0.11% +0.13% +0.24% -0.22% - LOSS
2025-02-04 09:27:24 $70.32 +0.01% +0.10% +0.20% +0.50% +0.67% +0.75% -0.08% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:22 $69.64 +0.16% +0.30% -0.04% +0.57% +0.96% +1.39% -0.24% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:01 $69.96 +0.46% +0.50% +0.61% +0.54% +0.80% +0.83% - +0.01% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:38 $71.27 -0.03% -0.01% +0.13% +0.14% +0.10% +0.34% -0.06% +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:01 $70.64 - -0.13% -0.04% -0.11% +0.42% +0.42% -0.30% +0.03% -
2025-01-15 09:29:06 $69.43 +0.07% +0.17% +0.30% +0.35% +0.42% +0.63% -0.17% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-13 09:25:43 $67.76 -0.04% -0.07% +0.39% +0.04% +0.96% +1.00% -0.12% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:33 $70.1 +0.14% +0.19% +0.32% +0.48% -0.10% +0.64% -0.01% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:44 $68.66 +0.07% +0.16% +0.10% +0.87% +1.56% +2.39% -0.13% - WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:03 $69.55 +0.14% +0.13% -0.20% -0.29% -0.86% +0.29% -0.10% +0.03% WIN
2024-12-16 09:26:04 $71.26 +0.06% +0.04% +0.06% +0.07% +0.17% +0.34% -0.08% +0.06% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:06 $69.24 -0.06% -0.16% -0.45% +0.03% +0.39% +0.55% -0.56% +0.12% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:09 $67.57 -0.09% -0.19% -0.20% -0.33% -0.38% +0.02% -0.10% -0.01% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:25:46 $66.93 -0.03% -0.04% - +0.10% +0.10% +0.21% -0.13% +0.04% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:28:56 $67.15 -0.13% -0.29% -0.22% +0.08% +0.03% +0.36% -0.48% +0.03% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:28:44 $65.3 -0.06% -0.09% -0.25% +0.11% +0.69% +0.76% -0.44% -0.03% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:28:55 $64.57 -0.42% -0.51% -0.77% -1.41% +0.98% +1.16% -1.64% -0.05% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:29:18 $64.68 +0.22% -0.00% -0.38% -0.95% -1.75% +0.31% -0.02% -0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.5% Baseline on SPLG

The 56.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPLG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPLG Strategy →

Why Analyze SPLG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPLG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPLG historically offers an average upside of +0.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPLG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.5%, SPLG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPLG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.