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SPTS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 63 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-10-10

⚠️ Small sample size (63 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 01, 2011
📊
63
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 19/34

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.10%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 24/30

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.06%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 24/29

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 22/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 34.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.21%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 22/32

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.06%
Best MFE: +0.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, SPTS alerts reach +0.06% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.05%
Worst MAE: -0.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.29:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 63 alerts, SPTS typically reaches +0.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 63
Gap Up % 23.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPTS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-10 09:25:05 $29.17 -0.03% -0.02% - -0.03% - +0.03% -0.07% - LOSS
2024-09-30 09:28:20 $29.44 -0.02% -0.00% -0.02% -0.02% -0.10% - - - LOSS
2024-09-12 09:27:38 $29.36 -0.02% -0.00% +0.02% -0.03% - +0.03% -0.10% -0.03% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:29:55 $28.7 +0.02% +0.03% -0.03% -0.07% -0.07% +0.03% - +0.03% WIN
2024-02-09 09:28:17 $28.95 - +0.03% +0.02% +0.02% - +0.03% -0.03% - -
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $28.91 +0.02% +0.02% - - -0.03% +0.03% - +0.03% WIN
2023-11-24 09:27:00 $28.81 +0.03% +0.00% +0.01% +0.03% -0.03% +0.03% - - WIN
2023-11-15 09:26:00 $28.82 -0.10% -0.10% -0.13% -0.12% -0.17% -0.07% -0.10% -0.10% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:27:00 $28.77 +0.01% +0.02% -0.02% -0.09% +0.03% +0.07% -0.09% -0.03% WIN
2023-10-20 09:26:00 $28.68 -0.00% +0.00% +0.03% +0.02% +0.07% +0.10% -0.03% -0.03% LOSS
2023-09-28 09:28:00 $28.67 +0.07% +0.07% +0.07% +0.10% +0.14% +0.17% +0.03% +0.10% WIN
2023-09-27 09:26:00 $28.7 +0.01% - -0.02% -0.02% -0.10% +0.01% - - WIN
2023-07-13 09:25:00 $28.87 - +0.02% - -0.02% +0.03% +0.10% -0.03% - -
2023-07-07 09:27:00 $28.71 -0.09% -0.09% -0.04% -0.03% -0.10% +0.03% -0.12% -0.10% LOSS
2023-04-20 09:27:00 $29.13 +0.02% +0.03% - +0.09% +0.03% +0.10% - +0.03% WIN
2023-04-06 09:26:00 $29.32 -0.07% -0.03% -0.05% -0.09% -0.17% -0.01% -0.10% -0.07% LOSS
2023-03-30 09:28:00 $29.18 -0.07% -0.00% - -0.02% - +0.07% -0.07% -0.07% LOSS
2023-03-27 09:27:00 $29.27 -0.02% -0.05% -0.03% -0.02% -0.10% +0.03% -0.07% - LOSS
2023-03-24 09:27:00 $29.44 -0.03% -0.07% -0.17% -0.15% -0.27% - -0.07% -0.07% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:29:00 $29.3 -0.02% -0.05% -0.17% -0.12% -0.20% +0.03% - +0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SPTS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.02% average gain, SPTS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SPTS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SPTS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPTS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPTS historically offers an average upside of +0.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPTS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, SPTS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SPTS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPTS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests SPTS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.