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SPWH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2024-12-11

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES (SIC 5940)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 17, 2014 🔗 www.sportsmans.com
💰 Market Cap: $54.3M 👥 Employees: 5,100
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc together with its subsidiaries operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer. It provides a one-stop shopping experience that equips customers with the right quality, brand name hunting, shooting, fishing, and camping gear to maximize enjoyment of the outdoors. The company offers products in the categories of Camping, Apparel, Fishing, Footwear, Hunting and shooting, and Optics, Electronics, Accessories, and Other products. It provides products such as Backpacks, Jackets, Camp essentials, Hiking boots, GPS devices, ATV accessories and Fishing rods, among others.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.23%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+12.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.23%
Avg Winner: +4.42%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +6.33%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.48%
Avg Winner: +4.45%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +7.50%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.21%
Avg Winner: +6.11%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +11.00%
Worst: -2.72%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.04%
Avg Winner: +5.54%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +10.92%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +5.95%
Avg Winner: +13.97%
Avg Loser: -2.07%
Best: +20.17%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.45%
Best MFE: +23.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, SPWH alerts reach +12.45% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.41%
Worst MAE: -3.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, SPWH typically reaches +12.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.31%
Best Gap +2.10%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES

How SPWH compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPWH: +3.23% Sector: +1.05% +2.18%
EOD Gain
SPWH: +5.95% Sector: +889.13% -883.19%
Avg MFE
SPWH: +12.45% Sector: +7.03% +5.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPWH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-11 09:27:14 $2.86 +6.29% +1.40% +1.22% +0.17% -0.70% +13.29% +2.10% +2.10% WIN
2023-09-07 09:27:00 $3.09 +0.65% -2.43% -0.65% -1.94% +7.77% +12.30% -3.56% -2.27% WIN
2023-04-13 09:28:00 $6.0 +6.33% +7.50% +11.00% +10.92% +20.17% +23.67% -2.00% - WIN
2022-01-25 09:25:00 $11.03 -0.36% -0.54% -2.72% -1.00% -3.45% +0.54% -2.18% -1.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on SPWH

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPWH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPWH Strategy →

Why Analyze SPWH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPWH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPWH historically offers an average upside of +12.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPWH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, SPWH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPWH performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.23%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.