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Latest signal:

SPXL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 706 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 2008
📊
706
Total Alerts
🎯
54.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.45%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 383/316

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: -2.50%
Trades: 359/343

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -4.05%
Trades: 361/340

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +4.93%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 366/337

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +15.06%
Worst: -10.14%
Trades: 377/328

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.89%
Best MFE: +16.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 197 min

On average, SPXL alerts reach +1.89% profit potential within 197 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -8.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 40 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 706 alerts, SPXL typically reaches +1.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 706
Gap Up % 51.7%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPXL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:28:55 $181.46 +0.08% +0.03% +0.18% +0.82% +2.58% +2.73% -0.58% +0.06% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:24 $177.02 -0.05% +0.40% +0.97% +1.08% +2.06% +2.62% -0.43% -0.13% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:20 $179.68 +0.31% +0.51% +0.49% +0.72% +1.47% +1.79% - +0.11% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:42 $181.38 -0.43% -0.46% -0.25% +0.38% +0.31% +0.68% -0.69% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:07 $183.93 +0.03% +0.28% +0.46% -0.99% -2.96% +0.64% -0.12% +0.01% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:30 $178.64 -0.16% +0.16% -0.32% -0.10% +1.78% +1.86% -1.01% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:43 $175.99 -0.12% +0.22% +0.70% +1.61% +2.01% +2.36% -0.15% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:45 $170.89 +0.76% +0.96% +0.33% +1.71% +3.08% +4.43% -0.70% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:15 $185.03 +0.02% +0.12% +0.28% +0.76% -2.73% +1.27% -0.14% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:37 $181.36 +0.52% +0.39% +1.12% -0.01% +0.92% +1.68% -1.22% +0.38% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:00 $179.1 -0.34% -0.95% -0.95% +1.09% +1.91% +2.40% -1.59% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:46 $173.9 +1.45% +1.52% +1.91% +1.93% +2.47% +2.60% -0.08% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:47 $184.33 -0.07% -0.04% +0.36% +0.52% +0.25% +1.02% -0.14% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:01 $179.68 +0.16% -0.25% -0.14% -0.29% +1.20% +1.37% -0.85% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:29 $176.38 -0.03% -0.14% +0.01% -0.12% +0.41% +1.33% -0.54% +0.14% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:55 $174.3 -0.17% -0.20% -0.68% -1.00% -1.15% +0.18% -1.35% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:55 $171.19 +0.26% +0.22% +0.72% +1.00% +1.14% +1.78% -0.55% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-14 09:25:34 $166.11 -0.43% +0.17% -0.74% -0.32% -1.14% +0.38% -0.48% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:14 $159.19 -0.04% -0.26% +1.00% +0.17% +2.89% +3.02% -0.35% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:19 $167.3 -0.19% -0.79% -1.48% -2.22% -2.52% +0.27% -0.24% +0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.4% Baseline on SPXL

The 54.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPXL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPXL Strategy →

Why Analyze SPXL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPXL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPXL historically offers an average upside of +1.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPXL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.4%, SPXL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPXL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.