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SPXU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 747 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jun 25, 2009
📊
747
Total Alerts
🎯
66.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+150.90%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 301/409

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -2.82%
Trades: 336/384

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 353/378

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +6.60%
Worst: -5.14%
Trades: 356/382

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.1%
Avg Gain: +150.90%
Avg Winner: +229.29%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +451.01%
Worst: -9.15%
Trades: 493/250

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.95%
Best MFE: +10.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 168 min

On average, SPXU alerts reach +1.95% profit potential within 168 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -4.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 35 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 747 alerts, SPXU typically reaches +1.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 747
Gap Up % 37.6%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.58%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPXU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:57 $20.17 +0.05% -0.10% -0.15% -0.00% +0.20% +0.55% -0.40% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:49 $20.73 -0.05% -0.04% -0.31% -0.82% -2.70% +0.58% -0.31% -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:50 $21.24 - -0.45% -0.94% -1.06% -1.98% +0.37% -0.07% +0.05% -
2025-02-11 09:25:38 $20.92 -0.24% -0.48% -0.53% -0.70% -1.43% +0.05% - -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:41 $20.75 +0.12% +0.53% +0.24% -0.34% -0.43% +0.58% -0.14% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:58 $20.47 -0.32% -0.44% -0.54% +0.69% +2.93% +3.30% -0.68% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:46 $20.53 +0.10% +0.12% +0.34% +0.48% -0.29% +1.61% -0.10% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:41 $21.08 +0.01% -0.21% +0.33% +0.10% -1.85% +0.95% -0.33% -0.14% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:27 $21.36 -0.09% -0.19% -0.56% -1.36% -2.01% +0.25% -0.09% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:56 $21.98 -0.86% -0.98% -0.23% -1.57% -2.87% +0.64% -1.18% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:05 $20.37 -0.20% -0.32% -0.29% -0.83% +2.75% +3.09% -1.33% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:01 $20.71 -0.11% -0.39% -0.56% +0.19% -0.63% +1.47% -1.16% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:15 $20.69 +0.17% +0.58% +0.29% +0.51% +0.97% +2.27% -0.14% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:29 $21.04 +0.38% +0.90% +0.93% -1.12% -2.00% +1.61% -0.14% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:30 $21.59 -1.11% -1.30% -1.55% -1.39% -2.08% +0.14% -0.72% +0.09% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:28 $20.13 -0.22% -0.40% -0.37% +0.12% +0.79% +1.29% -0.64% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:56 $20.48 +0.08% -0.15% -0.18% - -1.95% +0.10% -0.10% - WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:35 $20.47 -0.01% - -0.34% -0.46% -0.29% +0.19% -0.15% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:39 $21.03 -0.19% +0.21% +0.14% +0.14% -1.38% +0.83% -0.52% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:37 $21.4 +0.05% +0.33% +0.05% +0.33% -0.37% +0.61% -0.42% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.1% Baseline on SPXU

The 66.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPXU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPXU Strategy →

Why Analyze SPXU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPXU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPXU historically offers an average upside of +1.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPXU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.1%, SPXU shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPXU performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +150.90%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.