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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SPY

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.7% at 5-min n=908 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 1993
Total alerts
908
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
54.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.59%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.7%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.08%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -0.44%
Trades: 496/404

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: -0.78%
Trades: 458/446

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 479/425

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 472/434

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +4.84%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 485/422

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.59%
Best MFE: +5.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 192 min

On average, SPY alerts reach +0.59% profit potential within 192 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.25%
Worst MAE: -2.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 40 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 908 alerts, SPY typically reaches +0.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 908
Gap Up % 51.7%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $770.72 -0.06% -0.03% -0.14% +0.19% -0.14% +0.25% -0.21% -0.02% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $764.33 -0.04% -0.01% -0.14% -0.49% -0.04% +0.17% -0.72% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $766.84 -0.04% -0.05% +0.06% +0.18% -0.55% +0.34% -0.11% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $766.88 -0.11% -0.18% -0.16% -0.20% -0.35% +0.01% -0.11% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $768.33 -0.09% -0.12% -0.05% -0.09% -0.35% +0.16% -0.60% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $768.95 -0.11% +0.09% +0.17% -0.14% +0.31% +0.43% -0.35% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $764.42 -0.06% +0.05% +0.06% +0.19% +0.36% +0.59% -0.15% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $774.09 +0.02% +0.06% -0.02% -0.05% -0.09% +0.14% -0.03% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $766.21 +0.05% +0.05% +0.16% +0.38% +0.95% +1.13% -0.02% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $760.86 +0.04% +0.03% -0.11% -0.22% +0.11% +0.19% -0.38% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $763.4 -0.06% -0.32% -0.31% -0.20% -0.10% +0.02% -0.45% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $759.79 -0.04% -0.10% +0.06% -0.11% -0.76% +0.25% -0.14% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $760.76 -0.11% -0.13% -0.16% -0.42% -0.44% +0.03% -0.01% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $759.18 -0.06% -0.02% +0.11% -0.08% +0.22% +0.57% -0.16% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $765.26 -0.09% -0.01% +0.02% +0.05% -0.13% +0.15% -0.14% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $757.88 +0.01% +0.08% -0.11% +0.21% -0.01% +0.29% -0.16% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $763.96 -0.01% -0.03% +0.01% -0.11% -0.20% +0.07% -0.19% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $769.1 +0.03% -0.18% -0.15% -0.27% -0.41% +0.08% -0.02% -0.00% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $771.89 +0.04% +0.05% +0.08% -0.11% -0.22% +0.13% -0.00% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $767.7 +0.09% +0.23% +0.22% +0.13% +0.71% +0.82% -0.04% +0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.7% Baseline on SPY

The 54.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SPY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPY Strategy →

Why Analyze SPY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPY historically offers an average upside of +0.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.7%, SPY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.