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SRE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 21 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2025-01-31

⚠️ Small sample size (21 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.sempra.com
💰 Market Cap: $56.09B 👥 Employees: 16,773
Sempra Energy serves one of the largest utility customer bases in the United States. It distributes natural gas and electricity in Southern California and owns 80% of Oncor, a transmission and distribution business in Texas. Sempra Infrastructure partners, of which Sempra will hold a 25% ownership, owns and operates liquefied natural gas facilities in North America and infrastructure in Mexico.
📊
21
Total Alerts
🎯
42.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.32%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 8/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +1.23%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 9/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -2.86%
Trades: 7/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 8/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -28.76%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -33.77%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -51.62%
Trades: 3/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.67%
Best MFE: +2.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 159 min

On average, SRE alerts reach +0.67% profit potential within 159 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -2.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.93:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 21 alerts, SRE typically reaches +0.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 21
Gap Up % 47.6%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How SRE compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SRE: -0.21% Sector: +0.12% -0.33%
EOD Gain
SRE: -28.76% Sector: -13.08% -15.68%
Avg MFE
SRE: +0.67% Sector: +2.20% -1.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SRE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:03 $83.12 -0.16% +0.19% -0.19% -0.02% -0.23% +0.97% -0.47% +0.22% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:54 $82.15 -0.44% -0.56% -1.00% -0.46% -0.49% +0.19% -1.35% +0.11% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:25:00 $69.73 +0.42% +0.24% +0.33% +0.53% +1.15% +1.28% +0.03% +0.39% WIN
2023-10-30 09:27:00 $69.76 +1.20% +0.47% +0.36% -0.13% -0.39% +1.46% +0.54% +0.54% WIN
2023-10-05 09:27:00 $66.69 -0.41% -1.27% -0.39% -1.30% -0.66% +0.01% -1.69% -0.67% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:29:00 $68.1 -1.07% -1.66% -2.03% -2.78% -4.16% -0.48% -0.91% -0.90% LOSS
2023-09-18 09:28:00 $73.1 -0.08% -0.60% -0.68% +0.21% +0.56% +0.77% -0.81% +0.15% LOSS
2023-08-31 09:25:00 $71.44 -0.45% -0.46% -0.13% -0.31% -1.71% -0.04% -0.84% -0.48% LOSS
2023-08-16 09:28:00 $140.67 -0.11% -0.09% -0.48% -0.28% -49.78% +0.89% -0.65% -0.45% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:29:00 $154.0 -2.75% -2.94% -2.86% -2.90% -51.62% -2.36% -2.60% -2.51% LOSS
2023-05-18 09:25:00 $147.6 -1.05% -1.12% -0.63% -0.43% -50.17% -0.04% -1.29% -1.14% LOSS
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $162.42 -0.20% -0.10% -0.25% -0.06% -50.10% +0.22% -0.52% - LOSS
2022-10-26 09:25:00 $147.0 +0.31% +0.50% -0.64% -0.45% -49.82% +0.82% +0.27% +0.27% WIN
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $153.14 -0.07% -0.80% -0.48% +1.05% -49.35% +1.97% -1.04% -0.08% LOSS
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $157.23 +0.61% +0.45% +0.03% -0.22% -50.98% +0.83% +0.54% +0.83% WIN
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $163.58 +0.13% +0.26% +0.42% +0.99% -49.32% +1.66% -0.37% -0.25% WIN
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $148.44 -1.72% -1.20% -1.35% -1.66% -50.14% -0.05% -2.52% -0.30% LOSS
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $143.44 +0.51% +1.23% +1.07% +1.36% -48.99% +2.07% +0.11% +0.51% WIN
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $158.81 -0.04% -0.18% -0.70% +0.42% -50.27% +0.53% -1.02% +0.09% LOSS
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $151.9 +0.57% +0.46% +0.88% +1.84% +2.23% +2.28% -0.07% +0.57% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SRE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.9% win rate and -0.32% average gain, SRE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SRE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SRE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SRE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SRE historically offers an average upside of +0.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SRE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, SRE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SRE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SRE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.32%). This suggests SRE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.