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SRFM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-28 → 2024-12-27

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 27, 2023 🔗 www.surfair.com
💰 Market Cap: $150.5M 👥 Employees: 620
Surf Air Mobility Inc provides a regional air mobility platform to connect communities sustainably. The company is an electric aviation and air travel company expanding the category of regional air travel and reinventing flying through electrification. The company is building a regional air mobility ecosystem to sustainably connect the world's communities. It generates revenue through air mobility services.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+235.25%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.88%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +8.23%
Worst: -8.56%
Trades: 9/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +5.38%
Avg Loser: -5.28%
Best: +11.76%
Worst: -12.84%
Trades: 9/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: -1.64%
Avg Winner: +4.18%
Avg Loser: -8.94%
Best: +18.09%
Worst: -17.12%
Trades: 11/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -1.74%
Avg Winner: +7.71%
Avg Loser: -8.83%
Best: +23.52%
Worst: -20.74%
Trades: 9/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +235.25%
Avg Winner: +375.72%
Avg Loser: -10.58%
Best: +790.91%
Worst: -25.18%
Trades: 14/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.50%
Best MFE: +40.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 91 min

On average, SRFM alerts reach +9.50% profit potential within 91 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.04%
Worst MAE: -9.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, SRFM typically reaches +9.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 40.9%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +6.67%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, NONSCHEDULED

How SRFM compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SRFM: +0.05% Sector: -1.84% +1.88%
EOD Gain
SRFM: +246.60% Sector: +1546.18% -1299.58%
Avg MFE
SRFM: +10.04% Sector: +10.88% -0.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SRFM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-27 09:29:02 $6.52 -4.16% -9.36% -14.42% -17.79% -13.96% -1.76% -6.29% -2.61% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:14 $3.95 - +7.59% +3.54% +1.10% -3.29% +13.92% -1.01% - -
2024-10-11 09:28:07 $2.74 -1.46% +2.55% +1.10% -6.20% -25.18% +4.01% -5.11% +0.36% LOSS
2024-10-10 09:27:34 $2.55 +8.23% +11.76% +5.49% +18.82% +28.24% +40.78% -2.75% -2.35% WIN
2024-10-07 09:27:36 $2.36 -0.85% +7.63% +4.98% +7.84% -7.63% +17.28% -2.12% -0.42% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:27:30 $0.38 -1.99% -4.40% -5.91% -10.46% +459.44% +3.05% -0.66% +3.05% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:28:14 $0.39 -0.83% -6.72% -4.32% -7.63% +555.66% +0.57% -9.33% -5.09% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:28:17 $0.32 +7.75% +7.53% +4.97% -2.15% +599.56% +9.90% +0.09% +4.36% WIN
2024-07-05 09:29:04 $0.35 +1.98% -1.67% +0.42% +1.56% +690.42% +12.92% -3.68% -3.68% WIN
2024-06-27 09:29:36 $0.43 -3.50% - - - -3.25% -1.92% -3.50% -2.13% LOSS
2024-06-25 09:26:04 $0.36 -1.15% -1.15% +0.33% +4.61% +2.91% +9.80% -3.93% +2.75% LOSS
2024-06-24 09:26:21 $0.4 +2.00% +0.25% +0.03% +0.17% +3.40% +4.75% -5.00% - WIN
2024-06-21 09:27:14 $0.41 +2.68% -1.32% -6.80% -3.38% +3.56% +9.62% +2.31% +4.58% WIN
2024-06-20 09:26:41 $0.33 +2.67% +3.06% +18.09% +23.52% +790.91% +28.79% -3.03% +1.82% WIN
2023-12-11 09:27:00 $0.75 +5.24% +2.80% +6.53% +10.59% +28.65% +33.31% +1.20% +6.67% WIN
2023-08-28 09:28:00 $1.42 -1.42% -1.41% - -1.41% +595.07% +2.11% -5.63% -3.52% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:26:00 $1.22 -1.64% -3.40% -5.74% -4.92% -3.28% +4.92% -8.20% -4.92% LOSS
2023-08-03 09:28:00 $1.61 -4.35% -4.35% -6.83% -6.98% -6.83% +1.24% -3.11% -1.86% LOSS
2023-08-02 09:26:00 $1.73 +2.89% +5.20% +0.54% +1.16% +612.14% +12.14% -0.58% +2.31% WIN
2023-08-01 09:27:00 $1.98 -7.58% -8.08% -5.56% -6.82% -21.21% - -1.52% -1.01% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on SRFM

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SRFM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SRFM Strategy →

Why Analyze SRFM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SRFM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SRFM historically offers an average upside of +9.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SRFM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, SRFM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SRFM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +235.25%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.