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SRNE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 112 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2023-02-22

🏢 Company Profile

SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS INC
📍 OTC Link
SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS INC
📊
112
Total Alerts
🎯
33.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.39%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +6.33%
Worst: -25.77%
Trades: 24/86

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.0%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +2.63%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +15.79%
Worst: -22.68%
Trades: 37/73

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.1%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +21.39%
Worst: -17.41%
Trades: 36/71

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.9%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +5.62%
Avg Loser: -3.68%
Best: +33.56%
Worst: -16.95%
Trades: 38/70

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.0%
Avg Gain: -1.64%
Avg Winner: +7.59%
Avg Loser: -6.54%
Best: +43.28%
Worst: -57.84%
Trades: 37/71

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.78%
Best MFE: +53.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, SRNE alerts reach +4.78% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.31%
Worst MAE: -25.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 112 alerts, SRNE typically reaches +4.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 112
Gap Up % 22.3%
Avg Gap -0.49%
Best Gap +1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SRNE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-22 09:28:00 $0.43 -3.62% -1.54% -6.87% -11.83% -29.14% +9.18% -3.14% -2.08% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:25:00 $0.3 +4.55% +15.79% +15.30% +33.56% +27.07% +53.64% -0.26% -0.26% WIN
2023-02-17 09:25:00 $0.24 -1.89% -2.09% +3.32% +21.52% +27.05% +31.97% -7.79% -0.37% LOSS
2023-02-16 09:27:00 $0.18 +6.33% +11.06% +21.39% +28.89% +43.28% +46.67% -0.17% - WIN
2023-02-15 09:26:00 $0.2 -2.65% -1.18% -5.11% -6.00% -18.82% +1.52% -6.63% +0.15% LOSS
2023-02-14 09:28:00 $0.25 -25.77% -22.68% -17.41% -16.95% -19.72% +9.11% -25.81% +1.22% LOSS
2023-02-13 09:27:00 $0.61 -8.05% -1.64% +6.70% -5.66% -57.84% +8.20% -18.02% -0.77% LOSS
2023-02-09 09:29:00 $1.02 -1.31% -3.53% -3.80% -3.86% -8.41% - - -0.98% LOSS
2023-02-06 09:29:00 $1.04 -2.08% -0.96% -1.92% -0.95% - +3.85% -3.85% +0.96% LOSS
2023-02-02 09:27:00 $0.97 +0.26% -1.09% -0.74% -0.12% +4.94% +7.00% -2.26% +0.78% WIN
2023-01-30 09:26:00 $1.02 -0.98% -0.98% -1.81% -3.45% -6.86% +0.98% - -1.96% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $0.98 -0.36% +0.17% +4.27% +5.65% +3.09% +8.20% -1.81% -1.81% LOSS
2023-01-26 09:29:00 $1.02 -2.75% -3.63% -3.94% -4.04% -5.88% - -1.96% - LOSS
2023-01-25 09:29:00 $0.99 -1.02% -2.13% -1.75% -0.55% +1.79% +3.81% -2.24% -0.21% LOSS
2023-01-24 09:29:00 $1.09 -4.13% -4.58% -5.57% -8.26% -7.34% -0.92% -3.67% -2.75% LOSS
2023-01-23 09:28:00 $1.09 -0.46% -0.46% -0.80% - -1.83% +2.75% -1.83% +0.92% LOSS
2023-01-20 09:26:00 $1.18 -3.81% -7.20% -8.47% -9.32% -7.63% - -0.85% -1.69% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:28:00 $1.17 -0.92% -1.28% -1.70% -2.56% -0.85% +2.56% +1.71% +0.85% LOSS
2023-01-13 09:28:00 $1.17 +2.09% -0.09% - +0.43% -3.42% +4.27% -0.85% -0.85% WIN
2023-01-12 09:26:00 $1.04 +2.40% +0.96% -0.48% +1.92% +14.42% +15.38% -1.92% +1.92% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SRNE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.9% win rate and -0.39% average gain, SRNE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SRNE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SRNE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SRNE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SRNE historically offers an average upside of +4.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SRNE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.9%, SRNE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SRNE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SRNE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.39%). This suggests SRNE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.