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SRRK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-25 → 2024-11-25

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 24, 2018 🔗 www.scholarrock.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.52B 👥 Employees: 196
Scholar Rock Holding Corp is a late-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and delivering innovative medicines for treating serious diseases in which signaling by protein growth factors plays a fundamental role. Its pipeline includes Neuromuscular and Obesity, Immuno-oncology, Fibrotic Disease, and Hematology. The group operates and manages its business as a single segment to assess performance and make operating decisions.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.09%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+9.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +4.38%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +4.38%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.09%
Avg Winner: +4.36%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: +9.97%
Worst: -6.27%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +17.39%
Avg Loser: -4.62%
Best: +17.39%
Worst: -9.47%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +8.59%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +16.37%
Worst: -8.18%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: +1.28%
Avg Winner: +30.49%
Avg Loser: -6.03%
Best: +30.49%
Worst: -11.71%
Trades: 1/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.98%
Best MFE: +31.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, SRRK alerts reach +9.98% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.35%
Worst MAE: -4.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.24:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.24x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, SRRK typically reaches +9.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How SRRK compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SRRK: +0.26% Sector: -0.41% +0.67%
EOD Gain
SRRK: +1.28% Sector: +1233.50% -1232.23%
Avg MFE
SRRK: +9.98% Sector: +6.69% +3.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SRRK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-25 09:29:34 $40.25 -1.86% -6.27% -5.89% -1.55% -6.29% +7.78% -2.15% -0.62% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:25:49 $29.47 -0.80% -1.32% -9.47% -8.18% -5.77% +0.85% -2.44% -0.10% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:27:03 $33.4 -0.42% +2.63% -2.66% -4.49% -11.71% +5.93% -2.04% -0.93% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:29:36 $26.27 +4.38% +9.97% +17.39% +16.37% +30.49% +31.18% -4.26% +0.27% WIN
2024-09-25 09:26:37 $8.64 - +0.46% -0.46% +0.81% -0.35% +4.17% -0.87% +0.12% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on SRRK

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SRRK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SRRK Strategy →

Why Analyze SRRK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SRRK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SRRK historically offers an average upside of +9.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SRRK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, SRRK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SRRK performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.