FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-15 → 2024-12-02

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 11, 2010 🔗 www.sensata.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.02B 👥 Employees: 19
Sensata Technologies is a global supplier of sensors for transportation and industrial applications. Sensata sells a bevy of pressure, temperature, force, and position sensors into the automotive, heavy vehicle, industrial, heating, ventilation, and cooling, and aerospace markets. The majority of the firm's revenue comes from the automotive market, where it focuses on bumper-in applications.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.66%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +0.62%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.45%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +0.95%
Worst: -4.93%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -4.95%
Best: +2.05%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.04%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -5.08%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -7.52%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.58%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -6.60%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -11.20%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.33%
Best MFE: +3.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 148 min

On average, ST alerts reach +1.33% profit potential within 148 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -3.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.99:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ST typically reaches +1.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.70%
Best Gap -0.06%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL

How ST compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ST: -0.66% Sector: -0.36% -0.31%
EOD Gain
ST: -2.58% Sector: +11.32% -13.90%
Avg MFE
ST: +1.33% Sector: +4.19% -2.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-02 09:29:44 $32.99 -2.61% -2.76% -2.50% -2.64% -2.00% -0.85% -3.09% -1.88% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:28:31 $41.7 +0.62% +0.92% +1.04% +2.40% +2.04% +2.97% -0.12% -0.12% WIN
2024-04-30 09:29:08 $43.14 -1.23% -4.93% -7.39% -7.52% -11.20% -0.60% -1.55% -0.74% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:29:00 $32.72 +0.56% +0.95% +2.05% +3.61% +0.86% +3.79% -0.61% -0.06% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ST Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.66% average gain, ST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ST for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ST historically offers an average upside of +1.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.66%). This suggests ST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.