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STLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-14 → 2023-03-14

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 22, 1996 🔗 www.steeldynamics.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.48B 👥 Employees: 13,000
Steel Dynamics Inc operates as a domestic steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. The company's product portfolio comprises hot rolled sheet, hot rolled plate, painted sheet products, cold rolled sheet, and others. Its reportable segments are steel operations, metals recycling operations, steel fabrication operations, and aluminum operations. Maximum revenue is generated from its steel operations segment, which consists of manufacturing various steel products and numerous coating operations. Its primary sources of revenue are currently from the manufacture and sale of steel products, the processing and sale of recycled ferrous and nonferrous metals, and the fabrication and sale of steel joists and deck products.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.19%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: +3.19%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.81%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: +1.81%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.01%
Worst: +1.01%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.26%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.26%
Worst: +1.26%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: -0.67%
Worst: -0.67%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.19%
Best MFE: +3.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, STLD alerts reach +3.19% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +1.41%
Worst MAE: +1.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, STLD typically reaches +3.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.41%
Best Gap +1.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS)

How STLD compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
STLD: +3.19% Sector: +0.38% +2.81%
EOD Gain
STLD: -0.67% Sector: -0.63% -0.04%
Avg MFE
STLD: +3.19% Sector: +2.11% +1.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-14 09:27:00 $117.08 +3.19% +1.81% +1.01% +1.26% -0.67% +3.19% +1.41% +1.41% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on STLD

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STLD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize STLD Strategy →

Why Analyze STLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STLD historically offers an average upside of +3.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, STLD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STLD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.