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STM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 273 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

STMicroelectronics N.V.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 08, 1994 🔗 www.st.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.42B 👥 Employees: 49,602
A merger between Italian firm SGS Microelettronica and the nonmilitary business of Thomson Semiconducteurs in France formed STMicroelectronics in 1987. STMicroelectronics is a leader in a variety of semiconductor products, including analog chips, discrete power semiconductors, microcontrollers, and sensors. It is an especially prominent chip supplier to the industrial and automotive industries.
📊
273
Total Alerts
🎯
52.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 131/131

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 137/132

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -2.07%
Trades: 133/139

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -3.40%
Trades: 138/133

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +9.37%
Worst: -6.48%
Trades: 142/127

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.45%
Best MFE: +11.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, STM alerts reach +1.45% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -3.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.79:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.79x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 273 alerts, STM typically reaches +1.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 273
Gap Up % 51.3%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +1.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:33 $24.57 -0.22% +0.33% -0.24% -0.14% -0.37% +0.41% -0.57% -0.28% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:51 $23.82 +0.23% -0.34% -0.23% -0.19% +0.38% +0.80% -0.50% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:57 $22.45 +0.24% +0.22% +0.47% -0.20% +0.36% +0.57% -0.09% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:33 $22.49 +0.16% +0.07% -0.18% -0.29% +1.20% +1.25% -1.01% +0.18% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:00 $22.45 -0.13% -0.53% -0.53% +0.27% -0.36% +0.53% -0.96% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:48 $21.53 -0.12% +0.16% -0.14% +1.63% +0.51% +2.30% -0.79% +0.23% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:14 $22.19 +0.34% +0.50% +0.86% +1.74% +1.17% +3.29% -0.05% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:29 $22.67 -0.13% -0.55% -0.79% -1.24% -0.66% +0.51% -3.13% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:02 $25.3 +0.43% +0.75% +1.17% +1.82% -0.47% +2.33% -0.10% +0.32% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:36 $25.71 -0.37% -1.05% -1.01% -0.97% -1.36% +0.19% +0.04% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:01 $25.41 -0.85% -0.55% -0.39% +0.08% +1.50% +1.50% -0.91% -0.24% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:52 $24.92 -0.32% -0.66% -1.10% -0.74% -0.92% +0.36% -1.28% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:58 $23.82 -0.36% +0.17% -0.13% -0.38% +0.67% +0.99% -0.67% - LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:05 $25.57 +0.43% +1.92% +1.64% +1.45% +2.46% +3.56% +0.12% +0.35% WIN
2025-01-03 09:28:38 $24.0 +0.50% +0.42% +0.29% - +1.71% +2.31% -0.25% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:01 $24.61 +0.53% +1.18% +1.32% +0.57% +2.68% +2.95% -0.04% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:08 $24.86 +0.28% -0.97% -0.68% -1.10% -1.53% +0.36% -0.18% - WIN
2024-12-10 09:25:41 $26.83 -0.04% -0.71% -1.64% -1.94% -1.90% +0.37% -0.04% +0.22% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:27:28 $26.52 -0.19% +0.57% +1.04% +1.89% +0.08% +2.00% -0.41% +0.26% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:27:23 $26.38 -0.30% -1.04% -1.42% -1.21% -1.97% -0.04% -0.04% -0.15% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.2% Baseline on STM

The 52.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize STM Strategy →

Why Analyze STM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STM historically offers an average upside of +1.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.2%, STM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.