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STRO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-04-02

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 27, 2018 🔗 www.sutrobio.com
💰 Market Cap: $128.2M 👥 Employees: 131
Sutro Biopharma Inc is a clinical-stage drug discovery, development, and manufacturing company. It is mainly engaged in the development of biopharmaceutical products. The company manufactures next-generation protein therapeutics for cancer and autoimmune disorders through its proprietary integrated cell-free protein synthesis platform, XpressCF. Products offered by the company include STRO-001 for patients with multiple myeloma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma and STRO-002 for the treatment of ovarian and endometrial cancers. The company also pipeline contains STRO-004, STRO-006, STRO-00X, STRO-00Y, STRO-003, VAX24, VAX31, and Others.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.43%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +3.99%
Avg Loser: -3.96%
Best: +4.35%
Worst: -8.25%
Trades: 2/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +4.35%
Avg Loser: -5.22%
Best: +6.96%
Worst: -8.57%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.74%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -6.86%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: -10.91%
Trades: 2/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.91%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -6.37%
Best: +1.63%
Worst: -9.56%
Trades: 2/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.02%
Avg Winner: +7.01%
Avg Loser: -8.04%
Best: +8.57%
Worst: -10.63%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.30%
Best MFE: +15.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, STRO alerts reach +6.30% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.49%
Worst MAE: -11.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.4:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, STRO typically reaches +6.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.42%
Best Gap +0.40%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How STRO compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
STRO: -1.31% Sector: -0.41% -0.90%
EOD Gain
STRO: -3.02% Sector: +1233.50% -1236.53%
Avg MFE
STRO: +6.30% Sector: +6.69% -0.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-02 09:25:59 $5.65 -4.07% +2.12% -7.43% -9.56% -9.91% +4.07% -5.31% -1.95% LOSS
2024-03-26 09:26:39 $3.85 -2.63% -8.57% -10.91% -7.66% +8.57% +9.74% -11.17% -0.26% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $2.76 +4.35% +3.99% +2.17% +1.63% -5.43% +7.61% -0.36% - WIN
2023-11-01 09:27:00 $2.75 -0.91% -0.53% -2.18% -1.64% -6.18% +2.18% +0.36% +0.36% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $4.96 +3.63% +6.96% +2.82% +0.40% +5.44% +15.32% -2.22% +0.40% WIN
2022-01-06 09:25:00 $11.76 -8.25% -6.55% -6.93% -6.63% -10.63% -1.11% -8.25% -1.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ STRO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.43% average gain, STRO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider STRO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze STRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STRO historically offers an average upside of +6.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, STRO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests STRO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: STRO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.43%). This suggests STRO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.