FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

STZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Constellation Brands, Inc. BEVERAGES (SIC 2080)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 1986 🔗 www.cbrands.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.53B 👥 Employees: 10,600
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the US, generating 84% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company has pruned assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands, effective only in the US, the firm has limited revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 10% stake in Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -2.50%
Trades: 9/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -4.14%
Trades: 10/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +4.33%
Worst: -3.82%
Trades: 10/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +6.51%
Worst: -6.41%
Trades: 10/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +4.90%
Worst: -12.59%
Trades: 10/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.74%
Best MFE: +7.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, STZ alerts reach +1.74% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.30%
Worst MAE: -3.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, STZ typically reaches +1.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 68.8%
Avg Gap +0.32%
Best Gap +2.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BEVERAGES

How STZ compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
STZ: +0.12% Sector: -0.07% +0.19%
EOD Gain
STZ: -0.07% Sector: +32.94% -33.00%
Avg MFE
STZ: +1.74% Sector: +1.58% +0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:09 $166.27 +0.05% +3.68% +4.33% +6.51% +4.90% +7.20% -0.15% +1.19% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:08 $208.0 -2.50% -4.14% -3.82% -6.41% -12.59% -0.05% -3.01% -2.35% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:28:36 $270.99 -0.38% -0.63% -0.57% -0.39% -0.98% +1.43% -0.59% +0.00% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:28:00 $241.23 -0.21% -0.24% +0.89% +1.30% +2.03% +3.03% -1.34% +0.34% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $211.0 +1.42% +1.48% +1.54% +1.90% +1.92% +2.22% +1.33% +1.36% WIN
2023-01-06 09:25:00 $210.5 +0.33% +0.05% +0.24% +0.87% +1.77% +2.73% -0.97% +0.10% WIN
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $223.05 +1.61% +2.14% +1.93% +1.74% +1.54% +2.44% +1.42% +2.09% WIN
2022-09-23 09:25:00 $231.0 +1.44% +0.67% +0.38% +0.50% +0.11% +1.73% +1.33% +1.67% WIN
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $250.5 -0.16% -0.04% -0.26% -0.28% -0.76% +0.54% -0.96% +0.09% LOSS
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $246.48 -0.03% +0.17% +0.20% +0.60% +0.69% +0.88% -0.03% -0.03% LOSS
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $243.73 +0.21% +0.30% +0.88% +1.28% +1.13% +1.75% -0.17% -0.17% WIN
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $246.31 -0.56% -0.93% -0.94% -1.50% -0.34% -0.10% -1.61% -0.45% LOSS
2022-04-20 09:25:00 $253.87 +0.45% +0.93% +0.51% +1.59% +1.93% +2.24% -0.19% +0.45% WIN
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $216.94 +0.35% +0.97% +0.83% +0.43% -2.06% +1.15% +0.35% +0.83% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $220.45 +0.02% -0.17% -0.76% -0.80% -0.72% +0.15% -0.14% -0.14% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $246.18 -0.03% +0.13% -0.10% -0.70% +0.37% +0.53% -0.08% +0.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on STZ

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize STZ Strategy →

Why Analyze STZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STZ historically offers an average upside of +1.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, STZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STZ performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.