FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

SUN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-31 → 2023-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 20, 2012 🔗 www.sunocolp.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.72B 👥 Employees: 3,298
Sunoco LP is engaged in the distribution of motor fuels to independent dealers, distributors, and other commercial customers as well as the distribution of motor fuels to end-use customers at retail sites operated by commission agents. It is a growth-oriented master limited partnership (MLP) that operates as a wholesale and retail fuel distributor in the United States. The firm operates through the Fuel Distribution; Pipeline Systems; and Terminals segments. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Fuel Distribution segment. It distributes motor fuel to convenience stores, dealers, and commercial customers in various states. The operating convenience stores are under the APlus, Stripes, Aloha Island Mart, and Tigermarket brands.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.43%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +0.36%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.44%
Worst: -0.56%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +2.24%
Worst: -0.43%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.43%
Avg Winner: +1.95%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +3.43%
Worst: -0.14%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.00%
Best MFE: +3.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 238 min

On average, SUN alerts reach +2.00% profit potential within 238 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -0.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, SUN typically reaches +2.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How SUN compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SUN: +0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.02%
EOD Gain
SUN: +1.43% Sector: +0.04% +1.39%
Avg MFE
SUN: +2.00% Sector: +1.50% +0.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SUN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-15 09:25:00 $44.34 +0.36% -0.09% - -0.07% -0.14% +0.53% - - WIN
2023-01-10 09:27:00 $44.06 -0.34% -0.61% -0.56% -0.43% +0.43% +1.00% -0.95% -0.34% LOSS
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $45.15 +0.22% +0.80% +1.44% +2.24% +3.43% +3.79% -0.18% -0.07% WIN
2022-01-31 09:25:00 $44.05 -0.20% -0.12% +0.03% +0.59% +2.00% +2.70% -0.79% -0.23% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on SUN

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SUN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SUN Strategy →

Why Analyze SUN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SUN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SUN historically offers an average upside of +2.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SUN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, SUN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SUN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.