Latest signal:
SURG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-06 → 2024-11-22
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SURG alerts reach +14.13% profit potential within 47 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.83x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SURG typically reaches +14.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
How SURG compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SURG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-22 | 09:25:52 | $1.83 | -3.75% | -2.76% | -5.66% | -7.38% | -4.37% | +9.29% | -9.84% | -1.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-21 | 09:29:39 | $1.68 | +0.60% | +1.19% | +8.33% | +32.74% | +7.14% | +54.17% | -3.57% | -3.57% | WIN |
| 2024-08-14 | 09:26:40 | $2.07 | +6.28% | +5.31% | +4.11% | +3.86% | -3.86% | +7.49% | -0.97% | +1.45% | WIN |
| 2024-03-13 | 09:25:12 | $5.31 | -1.61% | -7.16% | -11.11% | -6.21% | -5.46% | +3.58% | +0.19% | +0.75% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-12 | 09:26:00 | $5.09 | +0.39% | +2.55% | +1.18% | - | +0.20% | +7.07% | -5.70% | -3.73% | WIN |
| 2022-10-06 | 09:25:00 | $5.91 | -0.85% | +0.85% | +0.85% | -1.03% | -7.95% | +3.21% | -2.24% | +1.35% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SURG Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, SURG has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SURG profitable.
🔧 Fix SURG Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SURG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SURG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SURG historically offers an average upside of +14.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SURG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SURG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SURG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.00%). This suggests SURG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.