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SWIM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2024-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Latham Group, Inc. Common Stock PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC (SIC 3089)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 23, 2021 🔗 www.lathampool.com
💰 Market Cap: $792.1M 👥 Employees: 1,850
Latham Group Inc is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of in-ground residential swimming pools, liners, and covers in North America, Australia, and New Zealand. It derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+5.91%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.91%
Avg Winner: +5.91%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +16.46%
Worst: +0.41%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -2.33%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +4.73%
Avg Winner: +14.56%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +14.56%
Worst: -0.35%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +1.70%
Avg Winner: +6.32%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.07%
Avg Winner: +7.27%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +11.39%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.80%
Best MFE: +23.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, SWIM alerts reach +9.80% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.08%
Worst MAE: -3.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SWIM typically reaches +9.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.77%
Best Gap +1.54%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC

How SWIM compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SWIM: +5.91% Sector: +0.57% +5.34%
EOD Gain
SWIM: +4.07% Sector: -0.48% +4.55%
Avg MFE
SWIM: +9.80% Sector: +7.52% +2.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SWIM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-15 09:26:06 $5.85 +0.85% +0.51% - -0.85% -2.31% +1.54% - +1.54% WIN
2024-08-07 09:28:48 $3.95 +16.46% +3.04% +14.56% +6.32% +11.39% +23.29% -3.80% +0.76% WIN
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $19.75 +0.41% -2.33% -0.35% -0.35% +3.14% +4.56% -2.43% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on SWIM

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SWIM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SWIM Strategy →

Why Analyze SWIM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SWIM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SWIM historically offers an average upside of +9.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SWIM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, SWIM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SWIM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.91%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.