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SWN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 306 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-09-26
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SWN alerts reach +2.69% profit potential within 120 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 306 alerts, SWN typically reaches +2.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SWN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | 09:26:15 | $6.64 | +1.96% | +3.39% | +3.09% | +5.05% | +5.12% | +5.57% | +1.05% | +1.66% | WIN |
| 2024-06-05 | 09:25:49 | $7.23 | +0.62% | +0.41% | -0.14% | +0.62% | +0.69% | +1.24% | -0.41% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-04-05 | 09:25:21 | $7.52 | -0.47% | -0.86% | -1.80% | -1.40% | -0.13% | +0.27% | -2.13% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-03-04 | 09:27:37 | $7.08 | - | -0.56% | -0.34% | -0.14% | -1.69% | +0.42% | -0.42% | +0.28% | - |
| 2024-02-21 | 09:26:02 | $6.72 | +1.65% | +3.05% | +2.98% | +3.42% | +5.65% | +6.10% | -0.45% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:28:00 | $6.39 | +1.33% | +1.80% | +2.43% | +1.56% | +0.47% | +2.50% | -0.46% | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:26:00 | $6.24 | +1.92% | +2.72% | +2.72% | +1.44% | +1.76% | +3.21% | - | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2023-12-11 | 09:26:00 | $6.03 | -1.24% | -0.08% | +0.75% | +1.74% | +2.82% | +3.65% | -1.24% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:27:00 | $6.62 | +0.30% | - | +0.23% | -0.83% | -1.81% | +0.91% | -0.30% | -0.30% | WIN |
| 2023-10-18 | 09:26:00 | $7.38 | -0.81% | -1.08% | +0.07% | +0.47% | -1.76% | +2.03% | -1.49% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-15 | 09:25:00 | $6.32 | +1.11% | +1.50% | +1.56% | +0.40% | +1.11% | +1.90% | -0.32% | +1.11% | WIN |
| 2023-08-09 | 09:25:00 | $6.7 | +0.45% | -0.72% | +0.07% | -0.07% | -0.75% | +0.75% | -1.04% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2023-08-04 | 09:25:00 | $6.66 | -2.25% | -4.96% | -1.20% | -0.38% | -2.70% | +0.90% | -5.41% | -0.75% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-31 | 09:27:00 | $6.5 | -0.08% | -0.31% | -0.62% | +0.23% | -0.31% | +0.43% | -0.92% | -0.62% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:27:00 | $5.1 | +0.20% | -0.39% | -2.06% | -3.24% | -1.96% | +0.98% | -0.39% | - | WIN |
| 2023-05-25 | 09:26:00 | $5.16 | -0.68% | +0.58% | +1.61% | +1.16% | -1.36% | +1.74% | -0.97% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-24 | 09:26:00 | $5.21 | +0.58% | +0.10% | -0.75% | +0.38% | +0.19% | +1.73% | -0.96% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2023-05-19 | 09:25:00 | $5.48 | -0.55% | -1.37% | -0.45% | -0.55% | -2.19% | +0.91% | -1.64% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-04-28 | 09:29:00 | $5.04 | +2.38% | +1.79% | +1.19% | +1.88% | +2.98% | +6.25% | - | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2023-04-20 | 09:28:00 | $4.98 | +1.10% | +1.10% | +0.60% | +0.90% | +1.41% | +2.21% | -0.20% | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SWN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.0% win rate and -0.01% average gain, SWN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SWN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze SWN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SWN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SWN historically offers an average upside of +2.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SWN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.0%, SWN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SWN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SWN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests SWN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.