FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$TBT

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.0% at EOD n=250 2022-01-03 → 2026-06-08

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Apr 29, 2008
Total alerts
250
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
51.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.30%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TBT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 111/125

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.48%
Worst: -1.79%
Trades: 117/128

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.28%
Worst: -2.09%
Trades: 125/117

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +3.08%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 122/120

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +4.96%
Worst: -5.78%
Trades: 127/121

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +6.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 167 min

On average, TBT alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 167 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -3.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 37 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 250 alerts, TBT typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 250
Gap Up % 38.4%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TBT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $35.96 -0.10% -0.06% +0.33% +0.71% +1.50% +1.45% -0.18% +0.08% LOSS
2026-06-05 09:25:00 $36.19 -0.08% -0.30% -0.26% -0.33% -0.28% +0.03% -0.35% -0.11% LOSS
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $34.35 +0.00% +0.44% +0.48% +0.41% +0.99% +1.48% -0.27% -0.06% LOSS
2026-04-01 09:25:00 $35.19 -0.11% -0.45% -0.37% -0.45% -0.11% +0.03% +0.00% -0.11% LOSS
2026-03-10 09:25:00 $33.55 -0.06% -0.09% +0.00% +0.09% +1.04% +1.16% -0.28% -0.06% LOSS
2026-02-13 09:25:00 $32.97 +0.15% -0.27% +0.17% +0.18% +0.15% +0.30% -0.30% +0.09% WIN
2026-01-21 09:25:00 $35.32 +0.00% +0.05% +0.28% +0.00% -1.25% +0.37% -0.20% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:26:28 $35.5 -0.44% -0.37% -0.68% -0.96% -1.46% -0.06% -0.54% -0.11% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:27:53 $35.98 +0.11% +0.76% +0.78% +1.81% +1.28% +2.00% -0.17% -0.17% WIN
2024-03-19 09:29:31 $34.46 +0.03% +0.23% +0.23% +0.25% -0.15% +0.41% -0.03% +0.12% WIN
2024-03-15 09:29:55 $34.3 +0.23% +0.17% +0.20% +0.35% +0.09% +0.55% +0.00% +0.09% WIN
2024-03-14 09:28:57 $33.77 +0.36% +0.50% +0.83% +1.27% +1.81% +1.94% +0.00% +0.03% WIN
2024-03-12 09:28:05 $32.76 +0.46% +0.47% +0.43% +0.00% +0.67% +0.92% -0.06% +0.18% WIN
2024-03-08 09:26:34 $32.38 -0.17% +0.06% -0.15% +0.15% -0.09% +0.43% -0.31% -0.28% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:25:22 $31.92 -0.06% +0.34% +0.81% +0.96% +1.00% +1.82% -0.13% -0.13% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:27:09 $32.52 -0.28% -0.14% -0.51% -0.43% -1.11% -0.05% -0.22% -0.18% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:26:14 $32.66 +0.06% +0.21% +0.28% -0.29% -0.52% +0.46% -0.12% +0.00% WIN
2024-03-04 09:28:10 $33.69 +0.00% -0.08% -0.71% -0.13% -0.77% +0.15% +0.06% +0.06% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:29:27 $33.8 +0.38% +0.86% +0.98% -1.27% -1.92% +1.09% +0.24% +0.33% WIN
2024-02-29 09:28:58 $33.83 +0.00% -0.41% -0.83% -0.83% -0.80% +0.09% +0.00% +0.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 51.0% Baseline on TBT

The 51.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TBT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TBT Strategy →

Why Analyze TBT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TBT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TBT historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TBT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.0%, TBT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TBT performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.