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TCBK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2022-05-31

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 20, 1993 🔗 www.tcbk.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.62B 👥 Employees: 1,201
TriCo Bancshares is a California corporation organized to act as a bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank. The Bank is a California-chartered bank that is engaged in the general commercial and retail banking business in California counties. The Bank provides a breadth of personal, small business, and commercial financial services, including accepting demand, savings and time deposits and making small business, commercial, real estate, and consumer loans, as well as a range of treasury management services and other customary banking services including safe deposit boxes at some branches. The company's primary source of revenue is the net interest income.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.15%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: -1.15%
Worst: -1.15%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.75%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: -1.75%
Worst: -1.75%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.18%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: -1.18%
Worst: -1.18%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: -1.07%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: -0.94%
Worst: -0.94%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +1.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 8 min

On average, TCBK alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 8 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.22%
Worst MAE: -1.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.49:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, TCBK typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.22%
Best Gap -1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How TCBK compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TCBK: -1.15% Sector: -0.03% -1.12%
EOD Gain
TCBK: -0.94% Sector: -0.04% -0.90%
Avg MFE
TCBK: +1.82% Sector: +1.25% +0.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TCBK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $45.77 -1.15% -1.75% -1.18% -1.07% -0.94% +1.82% -1.22% -1.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TCBK Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.15% average gain, TCBK alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TCBK for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TCBK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TCBK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TCBK historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TCBK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, TCBK shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TCBK may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TCBK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.15%). This suggests TCBK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.