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TEAM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 10, 2015 🔗 www.atlassian.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.66B 👥 Employees: 13,813
Atlassian produces software that helps teams work together more efficiently and effectively. The company provides project planning and management software, collaboration tools, and IT help desk solutions. The company operates in four segments: subscriptions (term licenses and cloud agreements), maintenance (annual maintenance contracts that provide support and periodic updates and are generally attached to perpetual license sales), perpetual license (upfront sale for indefinite usage of the software), and other (training, strategic consulting, and revenue from the Atlassian Marketplace app store). Atlassian was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Sydney.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.58%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 8/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +4.55%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 8/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -1.08%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +4.52%
Worst: -6.44%
Trades: 9/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +6.42%
Worst: -5.93%
Trades: 10/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -3.62%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: -6.61%
Trades: 14/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.19%
Best MFE: +7.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, TEAM alerts reach +2.19% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.08%
Worst MAE: -7.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.03:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.03x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, TEAM typically reaches +2.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 25.9%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +0.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How TEAM compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TEAM: -0.56% Sector: -0.09% -0.47%
EOD Gain
TEAM: -0.37% Sector: +73.64% -74.01%
Avg MFE
TEAM: +2.18% Sector: +4.32% -2.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TEAM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:28:02 $318.2 +0.47% +0.78% +0.01% +1.22% +1.49% +2.45% -0.53% +0.52% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:02 $320.62 -1.75% -1.75% -1.91% -2.06% -4.32% +1.17% -1.55% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:49 $247.15 -0.74% -1.35% -1.63% -1.65% -1.08% +0.56% -0.74% -0.72% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:05 $265.0 -0.19% +0.56% +1.19% +0.98% +1.27% +1.66% -0.38% - LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:09 $229.2 -3.63% -4.13% -5.24% -4.93% -2.12% +0.79% -0.31% -1.64% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:28:03 $152.17 -0.62% -4.63% -2.58% -4.03% -5.58% +1.65% -0.11% +0.33% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:26:51 $190.12 +0.63% +0.95% +1.38% +1.75% +3.10% +3.28% +0.09% +0.52% WIN
2024-03-22 09:26:23 $197.32 -0.77% -1.35% -1.76% -2.87% -2.43% -0.39% -0.91% -0.44% LOSS
2024-03-13 09:25:13 $215.77 -0.68% -0.96% -1.68% -0.94% -3.73% +0.17% +0.17% -0.13% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:25:05 $200.21 -0.31% -0.52% -1.76% -1.26% +1.37% +1.69% -2.28% -0.10% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:26:37 $206.0 +1.06% +0.96% +0.72% +0.79% +0.69% +1.67% -0.49% -0.17% WIN
2024-02-14 09:25:30 $213.0 +0.08% -0.80% -1.26% +0.15% +1.36% +1.45% -1.73% -0.28% WIN
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $231.0 - - - - -5.89% +2.64% +0.52% -0.38% -
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $199.01 -0.58% -1.14% -1.04% -0.50% +1.50% +1.52% -1.92% +0.04% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $171.87 -1.07% +0.50% +0.84% +0.73% +2.57% +2.95% -1.62% -0.19% LOSS
2023-11-06 09:29:00 $176.21 -0.09% -0.96% -2.53% -2.06% -1.51% +1.19% +0.73% +0.73% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:25:00 $168.5 +2.23% +0.20% +2.31% +0.25% +4.99% +7.26% -1.77% -0.15% WIN
2023-11-02 09:28:00 $183.54 -0.29% -0.62% -1.12% -2.09% -1.17% +0.03% -1.27% -0.25% LOSS
2023-10-25 09:26:00 $188.32 -0.54% -2.56% -2.50% -2.67% -5.17% -0.42% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS
2023-09-28 09:27:00 $195.6 -1.32% -0.52% -0.81% -0.49% +0.69% +2.52% -1.53% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TEAM Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, TEAM has -0.58% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making TEAM profitable.

🔧 Fix TEAM Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze TEAM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TEAM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TEAM historically offers an average upside of +2.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TEAM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, TEAM shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.62%) outweigh average wins (+2.25%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TEAM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.58%). This suggests TEAM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.