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TECK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2024-10-24

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Teck Resources Limited
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 17, 1991 🔗 www.teck.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.73B 👥 Employees: 7,200
Teck is a base metals miner with copper and zinc operations in Canada, the United States, Chile, and Peru. After selling its metallurgical coal business, copper is now its major commodity by EBITDA contribution, followed by zinc. Teck is a top-three zinc miner. Its major new copper mine in Chile at the majority-owned Quebrada Blanca 2, in partnership with Sumitomo, will drive an increase in Teck's attributable copper production by roughly 75%. Along with a number of additional copper growth options, Teck's strategy is to rebalance its portfolio to low-carbon metals such as copper. It sold its oil sands business in early 2023 and its coal business in mid-2024. In September 2025, it agreed to merge with Anglo American.
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 25/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 24/36

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: -6.01%
Trades: 26/34

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +5.49%
Worst: -5.72%
Trades: 30/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +6.57%
Worst: -6.94%
Trades: 29/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.07%
Best MFE: +6.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, TECK alerts reach +2.07% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.98%
Worst MAE: -3.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.98%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, TECK typically reaches +2.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 36.7%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TECK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-24 09:27:02 $46.37 +1.64% +0.49% +0.17% -0.27% +0.95% +2.59% -1.34% -0.02% WIN
2024-07-17 09:25:39 $49.81 -0.96% -0.52% -0.50% -1.61% -2.81% -0.20% -1.10% -0.46% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:28:56 $51.53 -3.02% -2.72% -1.66% -0.95% -1.46% -0.14% -2.19% -0.14% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:28:38 $48.0 +0.12% -1.35% -0.62% +0.39% +3.21% +3.73% -2.08% +1.44% WIN
2024-04-10 09:27:16 $47.89 +1.13% +1.23% +1.86% +4.28% +3.11% +5.03% -0.25% +0.48% WIN
2024-04-04 09:27:31 $48.44 -0.12% -0.74% -0.75% -0.43% -3.14% +0.14% -0.68% -0.39% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:25:48 $46.3 +0.26% +0.22% +0.99% +0.04% -0.09% +1.77% -0.15% +0.19% WIN
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $39.36 -3.96% -4.45% -5.13% -4.50% -6.94% -0.41% -0.41% -0.64% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:26:00 $35.15 -1.29% -0.77% -1.34% -1.39% +0.63% +1.07% -1.89% -0.97% LOSS
2023-11-09 09:25:00 $34.93 -0.09% -0.06% -0.41% +0.34% -1.37% +0.60% -0.69% -0.23% LOSS
2023-11-02 09:26:00 $35.99 -0.08% +0.61% +0.42% +1.00% +2.56% +2.92% -0.51% -0.08% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:25:00 $37.3 -3.49% -2.17% -1.47% -1.57% -5.36% +0.46% -3.94% -0.43% LOSS
2023-10-17 09:25:00 $39.39 +0.88% +2.26% +2.11% +3.40% +3.99% +4.19% +0.05% +0.28% WIN
2023-10-16 09:26:00 $39.5 -0.86% -0.99% +0.27% +1.01% +1.49% +2.48% -1.16% -0.51% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:25:00 $41.2 +0.07% +1.31% +0.39% +1.58% +2.04% +2.14% -0.02% +0.27% WIN
2023-08-01 09:25:00 $44.19 -1.70% -2.24% -1.95% -2.51% -1.86% -0.97% -1.24% -1.34% LOSS
2023-07-18 09:27:00 $41.66 +0.53% +0.82% +0.94% +1.39% +1.15% +1.63% -0.31% -0.02% WIN
2023-06-02 09:29:00 $42.76 -1.19% -1.15% -0.70% -0.30% +1.50% +1.80% -1.67% -0.33% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:28:00 $40.25 -3.13% -3.50% -3.86% -3.80% -2.93% +0.10% - -0.62% LOSS
2023-04-26 09:28:00 $45.72 -0.81% -1.49% -1.59% -1.42% -1.68% +1.16% -1.55% -0.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TECK Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, TECK alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TECK for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TECK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TECK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TECK historically offers an average upside of +2.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TECK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TECK shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TECK may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TECK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.10%). This suggests TECK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.