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TECS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 152 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-01-27

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 17, 2008
📊
152
Total Alerts
🎯
73.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+477.17%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 61/81

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -2.87%
Trades: 67/81

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +4.11%
Worst: -6.62%
Trades: 67/81

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +5.47%
Worst: -7.17%
Trades: 64/86

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.0%
Avg Gain: +477.17%
Avg Winner: +654.44%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +1004.27%
Worst: -13.41%
Trades: 111/40

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.77%
Best MFE: +13.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, TECS alerts reach +2.77% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -5.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 152 alerts, TECS typically reaches +2.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 152
Gap Up % 40.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TECS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:25:11 $49.19 -0.02% -1.11% -1.60% -1.08% +1.54% +3.88% -2.21% +0.24% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:28:31 $5.23 +2.00% +2.48% +4.11% +4.59% +961.19% +6.50% +0.19% +0.38% WIN
2024-10-30 09:27:28 $4.94 +0.40% +2.13% +0.81% -0.20% +924.29% +3.24% -0.20% +0.40% WIN
2024-10-29 09:29:27 $5.03 +0.50% -0.59% -1.29% -1.59% -3.58% +0.60% -0.80% -0.40% WIN
2024-10-22 09:27:52 $5.0 -0.10% -0.70% -0.30% -1.10% +884.00% +0.60% -0.40% -0.20% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:28:50 $5.05 -0.99% -1.60% -1.86% -2.08% +872.28% +0.14% -2.77% -0.40% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:27:57 $4.85 +1.24% +1.86% +1.86% +1.86% +3.30% +3.51% -0.02% - WIN
2024-10-14 09:29:31 $4.9 -1.53% -1.73% -2.60% -2.16% -2.04% - -0.61% - LOSS
2024-10-09 09:26:16 $5.16 +0.39% +0.10% +0.10% -1.32% -3.29% +0.87% -0.19% -0.19% WIN
2024-10-08 09:26:35 $5.38 +0.13% -0.37% -1.12% -1.64% -3.90% +0.37% -0.46% -0.19% WIN
2024-10-04 09:26:25 $5.31 +0.56% +0.83% +2.84% +3.48% +0.75% +4.24% - +0.38% WIN
2024-10-02 09:26:08 $5.75 -0.43% +0.61% -0.63% -2.52% +873.91% +1.30% -1.04% -0.35% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:45 $5.1 +1.37% +1.57% +1.57% +2.75% +2.35% +5.78% -0.19% - WIN
2024-09-20 09:25:23 $5.64 -0.35% -0.71% -0.46% +0.33% +903.55% +2.75% -1.24% - LOSS
2024-09-19 09:25:08 $5.63 -0.71% -1.17% -0.36% -1.30% -1.07% +0.96% -1.42% -0.53% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:29:36 $6.67 -0.15% -0.60% +1.20% +3.30% -9.00% +4.80% -1.42% - LOSS
2024-09-09 09:26:20 $7.16 -0.70% -1.47% -0.57% +0.14% -1.82% +2.40% -1.96% -0.28% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:27:45 $6.85 +1.17% +1.90% +3.32% +5.47% +978.83% +9.49% -0.15% +0.44% WIN
2024-09-05 09:26:35 $6.95 -0.58% -2.01% -2.95% -4.75% +884.17% +0.58% -4.96% +0.29% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:28:30 $6.99 -0.50% -1.57% -1.56% -2.29% +874.25% +0.64% -2.79% -0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.0% Baseline on TECS

The 73.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TECS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TECS Strategy →

Why Analyze TECS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TECS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TECS historically offers an average upside of +2.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TECS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.0%, TECS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TECS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +477.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.