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TELL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 405 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2024-10-08

📊
405
Total Alerts
🎯
43.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.66%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +5.96%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 123/262

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +2.35%
Avg Loser: -2.76%
Best: +11.90%
Worst: -23.12%
Trades: 146/251

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +13.52%
Worst: -24.91%
Trades: 158/242

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +3.16%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +21.82%
Worst: -30.32%
Trades: 164/236

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +4.35%
Avg Loser: -4.79%
Best: +18.13%
Worst: -23.70%
Trades: 176/216

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.84%
Best MFE: +23.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, TELL alerts reach +3.84% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.87%
Worst MAE: -12.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 405 alerts, TELL typically reaches +3.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 405
Gap Up % 28.9%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +5.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TELL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-08 09:25:13 $1.0 -0.01% +0.12% +0.12% +0.07% +0.11% +0.16% -0.13% -0.01% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:26:51 $1.0 -0.22% -0.27% -0.26% -0.18% -0.14% +0.12% -0.60% -0.60% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:27:16 $0.98 -0.57% -0.65% -0.61% -0.66% -0.24% - - - LOSS
2024-09-27 09:28:29 $0.97 -0.11% -0.19% -0.40% -0.12% - +0.70% -0.62% -0.01% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:53 $0.88 -0.90% +0.08% +1.24% +2.84% +3.75% +4.69% -3.06% - LOSS
2024-07-29 09:25:13 $0.92 -1.31% -1.28% -0.44% -0.97% -0.90% +0.97% -2.17% -1.07% LOSS
2024-07-26 09:28:38 $0.94 -0.14% -0.03% +0.01% +0.07% -2.11% +0.21% -0.20% - LOSS
2024-07-25 09:28:42 $0.95 -0.10% -0.33% -0.11% -0.32% -0.22% +0.52% -0.62% -0.01% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:27:36 $0.94 +0.67% +0.62% +0.38% +0.21% +0.80% +1.64% -0.27% -0.27% WIN
2024-07-23 09:27:41 $0.94 +0.23% -0.55% +0.34% +0.27% +0.19% +2.11% -0.55% -0.55% WIN
2024-07-22 09:27:53 $0.96 -1.42% -1.95% -0.78% -1.75% +0.34% +0.34% -2.27% -1.75% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:28:13 $0.63 -4.44% -4.37% -4.73% -10.73% -9.37% -0.17% -1.57% -1.59% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:26:39 $0.68 +0.32% +1.50% +0.91% -2.27% -7.09% +3.88% -0.94% +1.50% WIN
2024-07-16 09:27:11 $0.64 +0.80% -0.96% -0.08% +2.83% +4.31% +8.49% -1.79% -0.06% WIN
2024-07-15 09:27:59 $0.64 -2.34% -4.69% -3.66% -1.22% +0.45% +1.45% -4.69% -0.06% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:27:16 $0.66 -1.26% +1.83% -2.84% -4.36% -6.20% +2.31% -1.57% -0.51% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:29:51 $0.65 +1.80% +1.05% +3.11% +2.71% +1.55% +7.48% -0.87% +0.43% WIN
2024-07-08 09:25:00 $0.66 +0.76% -1.63% -1.21% -4.37% -2.81% +0.77% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2024-07-05 09:27:10 $0.7 -3.59% -2.04% -2.66% -2.24% -7.17% -0.03% -0.03% -2.30% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:26:51 $0.65 -0.02% -2.57% +0.96% +6.96% +6.37% +10.06% -3.10% +0.59% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TELL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.5% win rate and -0.66% average gain, TELL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TELL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TELL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TELL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TELL historically offers an average upside of +3.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TELL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.5%, TELL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TELL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TELL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.66%). This suggests TELL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.