FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

TGNA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2023-08-02

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1972 🔗 www.tegna.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.05B 👥 Employees: 5,900
Tegna Inc is a media company with a portfolio of broadcast stations and digital sites. The firm has television stations and radio stations in approximately U.S. markets. The company owns multicast networks of True Crime Network, Twist, and Quest. Each television station also has a robust digital presence across online, mobile, connected television, and social platforms, reaching consumers on all devices and platforms used to consume news content. It generates key revenue from advertising and marketing services, subscriptions, political advertising, and other services.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.14%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +1.29%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 5/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 4/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +1.43%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 5/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.39%
Best MFE: +6.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 184 min

On average, TGNA alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 184 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.32%
Worst MAE: -1.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, TGNA typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +1.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS

How TGNA compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TGNA: -0.14% Sector: +0.20% -0.34%
EOD Gain
TGNA: +0.27% Sector: -0.10% +0.37%
Avg MFE
TGNA: +1.39% Sector: +1.59% -0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TGNA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-02 09:27:00 $17.2 -2.19% -2.38% -2.03% -2.12% -1.86% +0.29% -0.70% -0.58% LOSS
2023-02-28 09:29:00 $17.62 +0.45% +1.03% +0.74% +1.08% -1.25% +1.36% -0.11% +0.17% WIN
2023-02-27 09:27:00 $16.71 +1.17% -0.36% +0.54% +0.87% +5.98% +6.88% -0.78% +0.36% WIN
2023-02-23 09:28:00 $21.81 -1.12% -1.01% -0.92% -0.76% -0.73% -0.25% -1.33% -0.96% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:26:00 $21.36 +0.14% +0.66% +0.73% +1.43% +1.36% +2.81% -0.05% - WIN
2023-01-30 09:28:00 $19.64 -0.38% -0.31% -0.20% +0.51% +0.36% +0.94% -0.81% -0.31% LOSS
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $19.41 +1.29% +0.26% -0.26% -0.70% -0.46% +1.29% +1.29% +1.29% WIN
2022-04-04 09:25:00 $22.42 +0.25% +0.04% +0.13% +0.11% +0.18% +0.36% -0.04% +0.09% WIN
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $22.48 -0.40% -0.29% -0.51% -0.40% -0.27% +0.13% -0.67% -0.36% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $22.58 -0.58% -0.89% -0.35% -0.47% -0.62% +0.09% - -0.75% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TGNA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.14% average gain, TGNA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TGNA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TGNA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TGNA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TGNA historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TGNA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TGNA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TGNA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TGNA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.14%). This suggests TGNA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.