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TKO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-10 → 2024-03-05

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 12, 2023 🔗 www.tkogrp.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.17B 👥 Employees: 1,300
TKO Group Holdings Inc is a sports and sports entertainment company that operates combat sports and sports entertainment companies. It owns and manages valuable sports and entertainment intellectual property. The company distributes content and monetizes its intellectual property through four principal activities: Media Rights and Content, Live Events, Sponsorship, and Consumer Products Licensing. The company has two reportable segments, UFC and WWE. The company generates majority of revenue from the UFC segment. The UFC segment revenue consists of media rights fees associated with the distribution of its programming content, ticket sales, and site fees associated with the business's international live events, sponsorship, and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.87%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +0.25%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: +0.39%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.80%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.46%
Worst: -0.37%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.26%
Worst: -0.44%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.22%
Avg Winner: +2.40%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -1.14%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.41%
Best MFE: +3.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 193 min

On average, TKO alerts reach +2.41% profit potential within 193 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -1.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.77x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, TKO typically reaches +2.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.14%
Best Gap +0.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES

How TKO compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TKO: -0.12% Sector: +0.07% -0.19%
EOD Gain
TKO: +1.22% Sector: +6.52% -5.30%
Avg MFE
TKO: +2.41% Sector: +3.06% -0.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TKO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-05 09:26:07 $78.85 -0.01% +1.11% +1.46% +1.26% +2.19% +3.41% -0.20% - LOSS
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $78.95 -0.60% +0.39% -0.37% -0.44% -1.14% +0.56% -1.23% +0.44% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:25:00 $77.25 +0.25% +1.11% +1.32% +0.97% +2.60% +3.28% -0.49% -0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TKO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TKO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TKO Strategy →

Why Analyze TKO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TKO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TKO historically offers an average upside of +2.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TKO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TKO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TKO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.87%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.