Latest signal:
TMC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 124 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-08 → 2025-02-03
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TMC alerts reach +6.98% profit potential within 107 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.62%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.66x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 124 alerts, TMC typically reaches +6.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: METAL MINING
How TMC compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:27:00 | $1.55 | +4.52% | +7.04% | +8.39% | +8.39% | +14.84% | +18.06% | - | +1.94% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:45 | $1.54 | -1.95% | -3.73% | -1.62% | -3.57% | -5.84% | - | -4.55% | -0.65% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:34 | $1.62 | +2.96% | -1.81% | -6.17% | -13.27% | - | +5.56% | +0.31% | +0.62% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:48 | $1.79 | -2.79% | +1.40% | -5.03% | -14.02% | -11.17% | +5.03% | -8.66% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:29:48 | $1.33 | +1.13% | +4.59% | +7.89% | +6.69% | +18.05% | +19.92% | -3.35% | -2.26% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:55 | $1.12 | +4.02% | +6.70% | +13.84% | +14.24% | +16.07% | +17.86% | -1.79% | -0.89% | WIN |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:28:55 | $1.16 | +1.67% | +0.43% | +0.83% | -1.80% | +7.76% | +9.48% | -3.45% | +3.45% | WIN |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:29:52 | $1.13 | -2.21% | -5.69% | -3.98% | -6.27% | +6.19% | +7.08% | -8.85% | -1.77% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:25:16 | $0.87 | +2.31% | +3.43% | +3.45% | -3.45% | +11.31% | +12.29% | -8.29% | +3.45% | WIN |
| 2023-11-06 | 09:29:00 | $1.15 | -2.61% | -6.96% | -3.47% | -3.90% | -10.43% | +1.74% | -1.74% | -1.74% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-06 | 09:25:00 | $1.23 | -1.22% | -3.25% | -2.85% | -4.07% | -0.81% | +0.81% | - | -0.81% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:25:00 | $1.26 | +1.10% | +1.60% | -1.19% | -5.16% | -7.94% | +2.38% | +0.79% | +0.79% | WIN |
| 2023-08-15 | 09:27:00 | $1.39 | -0.72% | -4.27% | -6.12% | -5.04% | +4.32% | +4.32% | -7.91% | -0.72% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:29:00 | $1.39 | +10.80% | +7.92% | +3.59% | -2.14% | +1.44% | +25.90% | -0.72% | +2.13% | WIN |
| 2023-08-08 | 09:26:00 | $1.22 | -3.28% | -2.05% | -2.47% | -4.92% | -9.02% | +1.63% | -0.82% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:29:00 | $1.3 | -0.02% | +0.38% | +0.77% | -1.54% | -1.54% | +2.31% | -0.77% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-02 | 09:26:00 | $1.38 | +2.17% | +2.90% | +0.67% | -3.26% | -6.52% | +5.07% | -1.45% | - | WIN |
| 2023-08-01 | 09:26:00 | $1.68 | -5.95% | -8.33% | -8.63% | -5.36% | -6.55% | +0.60% | -3.78% | +0.60% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-31 | 09:25:00 | $1.48 | +3.38% | +5.74% | +4.05% | +1.55% | +10.81% | +12.84% | -2.03% | - | WIN |
| 2023-07-25 | 09:29:00 | $1.38 | -1.49% | -5.07% | -4.38% | -1.81% | +2.90% | +7.97% | -5.80% | -2.17% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ TMC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 41.1% win rate and -0.40% average gain, TMC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TMC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze TMC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMC historically offers an average upside of +6.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TMC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 41.1%, TMC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TMC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: TMC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.40%). This suggests TMC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.