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TME Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 222 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American Depositary Shares, each representing two Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 2018 🔗 www.tencentmusic.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.07B 👥 Employees: 5,353
Tencent Music is the largest online music streaming platform in China, established in 2016 through the merger of QQ Music, Kuwo Music, and Kugou Music. Tencent, its largest shareholder, holds over 50% of the shares and more than 90% of the voting rights. Beyond streaming services, Tencent Music generates revenue through a diverse range of offerings, including podcasts, livestreaming, concerts, and karaoke.
📊
222
Total Alerts
🎯
53.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.32%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +6.08%
Worst: -5.45%
Trades: 113/98

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +7.54%
Worst: -8.13%
Trades: 117/102

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +9.03%
Worst: -8.54%
Trades: 119/101

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +17.70%
Worst: -11.61%
Trades: 116/105

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +3.60%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +21.63%
Worst: -14.43%
Trades: 111/110

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.70%
Best MFE: +25.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, TME alerts reach +3.70% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -11.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.76:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.76x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 222 alerts, TME typically reaches +3.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 222
Gap Up % 44.6%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +3.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TME alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:00 $13.5 -0.81% -0.89% -0.93% -1.37% +0.81% +1.11% -2.70% - LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:52 $10.54 +1.00% - +0.24% -0.66% -2.47% +1.52% -0.38% +0.57% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:10 $12.3 -2.07% -2.60% -3.41% -4.02% -4.23% +0.57% -1.49% -0.49% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:26:21 $13.1 +0.80% +3.59% +4.39% +3.51% +0.46% +5.54% -0.61% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-12 09:27:28 $10.84 -2.72% +0.65% -2.26% -3.51% +0.74% +2.40% -3.18% -0.55% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:26:52 $12.22 +0.49% +1.55% +2.17% +7.85% +4.58% +9.53% +0.20% +0.65% WIN
2024-10-09 09:28:24 $12.08 +0.21% +0.66% +1.70% +1.28% +2.32% +2.81% -0.74% -0.74% WIN
2024-10-08 09:29:28 $12.09 +1.24% +2.03% +2.11% +3.47% +4.47% +4.47% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2024-10-04 09:26:08 $13.93 -1.58% -2.01% -2.73% -2.55% -3.23% +0.57% -1.29% -0.07% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:25:17 $12.92 +1.39% +1.47% +4.22% +5.26% +4.57% +6.08% -0.39% +0.08% WIN
2024-10-02 09:28:01 $13.6 +1.65% +1.03% +1.54% -0.66% +0.96% +3.30% +0.51% +1.32% WIN
2024-09-30 09:28:07 $12.85 -2.33% -2.06% -1.48% -3.39% -6.23% - -0.86% -1.09% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:27:38 $12.6 +0.08% -0.48% -0.83% -2.02% -2.54% +3.10% +0.32% +0.32% WIN
2024-09-26 09:26:44 $12.34 +6.08% +7.54% +5.63% +0.57% -0.57% +12.07% +0.21% +1.94% WIN
2024-09-25 09:28:46 $11.44 -0.74% -0.83% -0.31% -0.04% -1.40% +1.31% -1.22% -0.61% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:29:21 $11.15 +1.79% +2.51% +2.56% +3.18% +6.28% +7.70% -0.49% +3.23% WIN
2024-08-19 09:26:30 $10.62 -0.71% -0.19% +0.19% -0.48% +0.19% +0.56% -1.22% - LOSS
2024-08-14 09:27:42 $11.17 +0.31% +0.31% +0.31% +0.04% -0.36% +1.39% -0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-08-13 09:26:37 $11.3 -2.26% +1.77% -0.44% -2.39% -1.59% +2.30% -4.34% +0.53% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:29:37 $14.79 -1.01% -0.14% +0.30% +0.64% +2.57% +2.91% -1.28% +0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.6% Baseline on TME

The 53.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TME's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TME Strategy →

Why Analyze TME with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TME. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TME historically offers an average upside of +3.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TME Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.6%, TME shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TME performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.32%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.