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TNYA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 30 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-08 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (30 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 30, 2021 🔗 www.tenayatherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $158.1M 👥 Employees: 97
Tenaya Therapeutics Inc is a preclinical stage biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and delivering curative therapies that address the underlying drivers of heart disease. It is advancing product candidates from three product platforms: gene therapy, cellular regeneration and precision medicine.
📊
30
Total Alerts
🎯
53.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.48%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -3.77%
Best: +6.38%
Worst: -9.75%
Trades: 16/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.62%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -4.55%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -20.11%
Trades: 10/17

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.18%
Avg Winner: +3.32%
Avg Loser: -4.93%
Best: +8.30%
Worst: -21.14%
Trades: 10/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -1.82%
Avg Winner: +5.11%
Avg Loser: -7.11%
Best: +12.95%
Worst: -37.50%
Trades: 13/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -2.46%
Avg Winner: +9.07%
Avg Loser: -7.77%
Best: +20.14%
Worst: -29.50%
Trades: 9/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.07%
Best MFE: +25.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 79 min

On average, TNYA alerts reach +7.07% profit potential within 79 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.38%
Worst MAE: -9.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 30 alerts, TNYA typically reaches +7.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 30
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.41%
Best Gap +1.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How TNYA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TNYA: -0.48% Sector: -0.41% -0.07%
EOD Gain
TNYA: -2.46% Sector: +1233.50% -1235.96%
Avg MFE
TNYA: +7.07% Sector: +6.69% +0.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TNYA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:50 $1.08 -3.24% -1.85% -3.70% -2.50% -2.78% +0.93% -5.56% -3.70% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:45 $1.52 +2.63% - -0.99% -0.99% - +2.97% +0.66% +1.32% WIN
2024-12-30 09:25:24 $1.41 +3.52% +1.06% +0.71% +2.84% +2.84% +6.38% -1.42% - WIN
2024-12-27 09:29:38 $1.55 +0.65% -0.32% +0.32% -2.58% -3.23% +2.58% -1.29% - WIN
2024-12-23 09:25:15 $1.79 -6.15% -5.03% -5.59% -9.22% -11.17% +5.03% -6.15% -2.23% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:50 $1.39 - +5.76% +7.19% +12.95% +20.14% +22.30% -2.88% +0.58% -
2024-12-19 09:27:56 $1.27 +0.78% -0.78% +0.39% -2.76% +11.02% +11.02% -3.94% -0.79% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:05 $1.4 -1.07% +1.77% -2.50% -3.57% -12.14% +2.86% -1.43% +1.43% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:46 $2.0 -9.75% -20.11% -21.14% -37.50% -29.50% +0.50% -0.50% - LOSS
2024-12-10 09:29:52 $3.92 +1.66% +1.28% -2.04% -3.32% -8.67% +2.30% -2.55% +0.51% WIN
2024-12-02 09:28:06 $3.59 -3.34% -0.42% -1.67% +3.48% -0.28% +4.46% -5.29% -0.28% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:26:44 $3.6 +0.56% +0.33% -4.17% -13.06% -8.61% +2.78% -0.83% -0.56% WIN
2024-11-26 09:27:38 $3.08 -0.81% -5.25% -5.14% +3.25% +6.82% +14.61% -8.12% +0.32% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:27:50 $2.5 +2.00% +0.40% -0.80% +5.20% +18.40% +22.40% -2.60% -2.00% WIN
2024-11-21 09:27:19 $2.26 -2.43% -5.09% -5.08% -5.36% -4.42% -0.89% -3.54% -0.89% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:58 $2.48 -3.83% -4.44% -6.25% -7.26% -10.48% -0.81% -4.03% -1.21% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:25:17 $2.28 -1.75% -1.75% -0.99% +6.36% -0.44% +10.09% -5.26% -0.88% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:37 $2.11 +0.95% +2.84% +0.95% -1.66% -2.37% +7.09% -2.84% +0.47% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:48 $2.19 +1.11% - -0.91% +0.46% -4.57% +5.02% +0.91% +1.83% WIN
2024-11-11 09:27:45 $2.93 +1.59% -3.79% -5.15% -7.68% -12.29% +3.41% -3.41% +1.37% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TNYA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.3% win rate, TNYA has -0.48% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making TNYA profitable.

🔧 Fix TNYA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze TNYA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TNYA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TNYA historically offers an average upside of +7.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TNYA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, TNYA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.77%) outweigh average wins (+2.15%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TNYA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.48%). This suggests TNYA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.