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TOI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-06 → 2024-11-07

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Oncology Institute, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE (SIC 8011)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 15, 2021 🔗 www.theoncologyinstitute.com
💰 Market Cap: $327.6M 👥 Employees: 825
The Oncology Institute Inc offers oncology services committed to improving cancer prevention, diagnosis, treatment, research, and education. The company provides services including infusion centres. In-house dispensary, Outpatient blood transfusion, Outpatient stem cell transplant, financial counseling, clinical trials, comprehensive lab testing, and end-of-life counseling. The business operates in three operating segments dispensary, patients services and clinical trials and others. Key revenue is earned from providing patient services. Majority of revenue is from patients services.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.79%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+9.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -5.44%
Best: +8.26%
Worst: -8.52%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -2.70%
Avg Winner: +3.58%
Avg Loser: -11.07%
Best: +6.25%
Worst: -18.36%
Trades: 4/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +6.20%
Avg Loser: -14.78%
Best: +7.89%
Worst: -25.56%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -2.48%
Avg Winner: +4.66%
Avg Loser: -11.99%
Best: +7.60%
Worst: -22.27%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -3.58%
Avg Winner: +10.14%
Avg Loser: -13.87%
Best: +19.49%
Worst: -31.11%
Trades: 3/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.46%
Best MFE: +20.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, TOI alerts reach +9.46% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.00%
Worst MAE: -6.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, TOI typically reaches +9.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +10.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE

How TOI compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOI: +0.22% Sector: -0.15% +0.37%
EOD Gain
TOI: -1.27% Sector: +0.11% -1.38%
Avg MFE
TOI: +11.27% Sector: +4.44% +6.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-07 09:25:50 $0.33 -3.00% -10.05% - -7.69% -17.44% -1.39% -5.39% -5.39% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $2.5 -4.80% -4.80% -4.00% -6.00% -1.20% +3.20% -6.00% -4.00% LOSS
2023-06-15 09:27:00 $0.51 +8.26% +5.13% +4.91% +2.86% +19.49% +20.32% +1.99% +10.34% WIN
2023-06-13 09:26:00 $0.52 +1.92% +6.25% +7.69% +7.60% -5.71% +7.69% -3.85% -0.38% WIN
2023-06-12 09:28:00 $0.55 +4.09% +2.26% +4.31% +6.85% +3.03% +13.22% -1.37% +0.46% WIN
2023-06-09 09:29:00 $0.9 -8.52% -18.36% -25.56% -22.27% -31.11% +5.11% -2.00% +2.51% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:28:00 $0.38 +0.36% +0.68% +7.89% +1.32% +7.89% +18.08% -4.42% -2.63% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TOI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, TOI has -0.79% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making TOI profitable.

🔧 Fix TOI Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze TOI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOI historically offers an average upside of +9.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, TOI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-14.78%) outweigh average wins (+6.20%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TOI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.79%). This suggests TOI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.