Latest signal:
TOL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-05 → 2024-03-21
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TOL alerts reach +3.67% profit potential within 153 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.87%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.24x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, TOL typically reaches +3.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS
How TOL compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TOL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | 09:26:29 | $125.7 | +0.03% | +0.61% | +0.47% | +0.77% | +0.66% | +1.91% | -0.32% | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2023-08-23 | 09:27:00 | $77.58 | +0.05% | -0.68% | +0.65% | +1.56% | +1.64% | +3.29% | -1.65% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2023-01-04 | 09:28:00 | $51.0 | +0.37% | +1.25% | +1.15% | +0.61% | +1.71% | +2.14% | +0.20% | +0.80% | WIN |
| 2022-08-24 | 09:25:00 | $44.0 | +0.57% | +5.73% | +3.98% | +6.55% | +5.05% | +7.66% | - | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2022-05-25 | 09:25:00 | $45.21 | -1.19% | +3.58% | +2.79% | +4.71% | +6.37% | +7.12% | -1.53% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-05 | 09:25:00 | $50.0 | -1.16% | -0.60% | -0.98% | -2.44% | -4.18% | -0.10% | -1.90% | -1.32% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on TOL
The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TOL's performance to 75%+.
Optimize TOL Strategy →Why Analyze TOL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOL historically offers an average upside of +3.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TOL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, TOL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.