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TOMZ Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-03 → 2024-12-19
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TOMZ alerts reach +7.37% profit potential within 27 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.64%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, TOMZ typically reaches +7.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
How TOMZ compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TOMZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-19 | 09:27:21 | $1.03 | -5.83% | -15.53% | -28.84% | -24.75% | -25.24% | -1.13% | -6.80% | -2.91% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:27:00 | $0.65 | -4.40% | -2.85% | -5.79% | -8.81% | +1.75% | +4.28% | -4.40% | +4.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-31 | 09:27:00 | $0.58 | -5.40% | -10.34% | -12.12% | - | -13.10% | +1.52% | - | -6.90% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-10 | 09:25:00 | $1.12 | +0.79% | -5.94% | -10.71% | -13.38% | -9.82% | +2.68% | - | +2.68% | WIN |
| 2022-08-09 | 09:25:00 | $1.15 | +2.61% | +0.86% | +1.18% | +2.61% | +6.09% | +7.83% | -1.74% | +2.61% | WIN |
| 2022-08-08 | 09:25:00 | $1.37 | -3.65% | +3.64% | +0.15% | +11.31% | -5.84% | +27.01% | -6.57% | -1.46% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-01 | 09:25:00 | $0.95 | - | -1.05% | +0.42% | -1.82% | +9.47% | +15.79% | - | - | - |
| 2022-06-03 | 09:25:00 | $1.0 | -1.21% | -2.02% | - | -5.17% | -11.00% | +1.00% | -1.58% | -0.76% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ TOMZ Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.9% win rate and -7.96% average gain, TOMZ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TOMZ for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze TOMZ with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOMZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOMZ historically offers an average upside of +7.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TOMZ Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, TOMZ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TOMZ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: TOMZ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -7.96%). This suggests TOMZ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.