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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TOST

Trade-Ideas alerts 44.2% at 15-min n=43 2022-02-16 → 2026-08-05

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 43 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 22, 2021 🔗 www.toasttab.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.22B 👥 Employees: 6,500
Toast Inc is a cloud-based, all-in-one digital technology platform purpose-built for the restaurant community. The company provides a comprehensive platform of software-as-a-service (SaaS) products and financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, and a broad ecosystem of third-party partners. It serves as a restaurant operating system, connecting front of house and back of house operations across service models such as dine-in, takeout, and delivery. It operates through one reportable segment consisting of its SaaS products, financial technology solutions, integrated payments, hardware, and partner ecosystem.
Total alerts
43
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
44.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.60%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.65%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TOST on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +3.81%
Worst: -4.96%
Trades: 18/25

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -8.80%
Trades: 19/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.9%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 15/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.2%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +6.49%
Worst: -5.67%
Trades: 16/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +5.31%
Worst: -8.10%
Trades: 19/24

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.65%
Best MFE: +7.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 57 min

On average, TOST alerts reach +2.65% profit potential within 57 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.23%
Worst MAE: -8.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 43 alerts, TOST typically reaches +2.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 43
Gap Up % 46.5%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How TOST compares to 56 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOST: -0.13% Sector: -0.32% +0.19%
EOD Gain
TOST: -0.92% Sector: +672.34% -673.26%
Avg MFE
TOST: +2.65% Sector: +6.46% -3.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $34.6 +2.98% +2.77% +1.79% +2.59% +0.58% +5.09% +0.00% +1.39% WIN
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $28.46 -0.30% +0.02% +2.30% +0.05% +1.35% +3.02% -1.91% +0.30% LOSS
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $29.75 +1.18% +0.74% -0.72% -0.34% -0.47% +1.85% +0.40% +0.40% WIN
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $25.5 -2.31% -1.29% +0.16% +0.80% +2.04% +3.98% -2.59% -1.06% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $25.23 -0.91% -2.26% -3.41% -1.74% -0.71% +3.05% -1.90% -0.12% LOSS
2026-02-13 09:25:00 $26.52 +3.72% +5.66% +6.15% +6.49% +3.06% +7.45% -1.20% +1.81% WIN
2026-01-09 09:25:00 $36.73 -0.45% +0.50% -1.52% -1.88% -3.46% +0.74% -0.49% -0.49% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:56 $36.1 -0.80% +0.00% -0.76% -1.34% -1.11% +0.55% -1.41% +0.33% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:29 $42.51 -0.12% +1.18% +0.75% +0.64% +0.54% +1.74% -0.26% +0.21% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:41 $42.05 +0.55% +1.09% +1.15% +0.93% +0.74% +2.95% -0.10% +0.48% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:52 $42.54 -0.52% -0.59% -1.36% -1.39% -0.09% +0.73% -0.82% +0.45% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:47 $37.96 -4.96% -7.80% -4.50% -5.67% -1.26% +1.34% -1.21% +1.13% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:17 $30.25 +0.53% +1.11% +2.02% +2.84% +2.41% +4.36% -0.66% -0.40% WIN
2024-03-07 09:25:43 $25.29 +0.12% -0.36% -0.59% -1.74% -1.86% +1.34% -0.79% -0.55% WIN
2024-02-20 09:28:24 $21.71 +0.51% +0.16% -1.59% -0.23% +0.32% +1.47% -1.75% -0.88% WIN
2024-02-16 09:28:03 $21.29 +0.52% +3.06% +3.92% +2.18% +5.31% +6.43% -1.55% +0.28% WIN
2024-02-15 09:26:23 $20.36 +1.08% +0.20% +0.44% +0.44% -5.70% +1.38% -0.34% +0.10% WIN
2024-02-07 09:26:32 $19.33 -2.41% -3.31% -3.47% -1.37% -0.26% +0.05% -0.05% -0.67% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $14.88 -0.94% -1.44% -0.60% +0.00% +1.68% +4.00% -2.89% -0.40% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:25:00 $15.4 +0.13% -1.20% -1.04% -1.75% -3.44% +0.19% -0.58% -0.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TOST Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.2% win rate and -0.60% average gain, TOST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TOST for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TOST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOST historically offers an average upside of +2.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.2%, TOST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TOST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TOST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.60%). This suggests TOST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.