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TOUR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 68 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-10-08

⚠️ Small sample size (68 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tuniu Corporation
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 09, 2014 🔗 www.tuniu.com
💰 Market Cap: $76.6M 👥 Employees: 983
Tuniu Corp is an online leisure travel company. The company is engaged in the provision of travel-related services in the People's Republic of China. It offers a large selection of packaged tours, including organized tours and self-guided tours, as well as travel-related services for leisure travelers. The company's organized tours provide pre-arranged itineraries, transportation, accommodations, entertainment, meals, and tour guide services. Its self-guided tours consist of combinations of flights and hotel bookings and other optional add-ons. The company derives almost all of its revenue from PRC.
📊
68
Total Alerts
🎯
51.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.9%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +2.22%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +9.15%
Worst: -6.73%
Trades: 21/39

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.57%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: +12.16%
Worst: -11.86%
Trades: 34/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +4.67%
Avg Loser: -4.40%
Best: +20.25%
Worst: -10.93%
Trades: 31/30

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +4.92%
Avg Loser: -5.15%
Best: +22.69%
Worst: -16.57%
Trades: 26/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: +1.02%
Avg Winner: +10.14%
Avg Loser: -5.81%
Best: +28.83%
Worst: -18.56%
Trades: 28/37

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.39%
Best MFE: +32.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, TOUR alerts reach +7.39% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.43%
Worst MAE: -12.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 68 alerts, TOUR typically reaches +7.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 68
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +6.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOUR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-08 09:26:03 $1.18 +3.97% +1.63% +1.69% - +7.63% +11.02% -1.69% +2.54% WIN
2024-10-04 09:25:51 $1.45 +2.07% +4.83% +2.88% -3.45% -2.76% +4.83% -2.07% +2.07% WIN
2024-10-02 09:25:34 $1.69 -2.96% -7.09% -8.28% -16.57% -10.06% +0.59% -2.96% - LOSS
2024-10-01 09:29:15 $1.53 +9.15% +9.11% +5.88% -8.15% -3.92% +15.03% -1.31% +0.65% WIN
2024-09-30 09:26:53 $1.23 +8.13% +4.07% +10.57% +4.88% +15.45% +23.58% -2.44% -2.44% WIN
2023-02-07 09:25:00 $2.13 - +0.94% +2.82% +2.58% +2.35% +4.23% -1.41% +0.47% -
2023-01-30 09:25:00 $2.41 -1.24% -6.02% -4.56% -3.11% -1.66% +1.24% -12.45% -0.83% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:25:00 $2.95 -4.41% -7.82% -10.85% -10.93% -14.58% - - -2.03% LOSS
2023-01-23 09:27:00 $2.36 -1.48% +0.42% +5.08% +2.12% -3.39% +6.78% -2.11% -1.27% LOSS
2023-01-20 09:27:00 $1.9 -0.53% +6.58% +5.79% +12.05% +17.89% +23.68% -1.58% +0.53% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:26:00 $2.04 -1.46% +0.27% -2.70% -7.35% -15.20% +0.49% -1.96% -0.98% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:25:00 $1.99 +0.50% +0.50% -1.96% -0.01% -3.52% +2.51% - +2.51% WIN
2023-01-04 09:28:00 $1.93 -4.40% -3.11% -3.63% -6.22% +2.07% +5.70% -9.84% +0.52% LOSS
2023-01-03 09:28:00 $1.61 +1.86% +1.86% +6.52% +4.81% +13.66% +14.29% -1.24% -0.62% WIN
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $1.54 -0.69% +3.81% +0.01% +3.25% -1.95% +4.87% -1.30% +0.65% LOSS
2022-12-28 09:25:00 $1.83 -4.37% -6.01% -10.93% -11.48% -12.02% -0.55% -0.55% -2.73% LOSS
2022-12-27 09:25:00 $1.94 -0.52% -1.58% +1.80% -2.84% -9.28% +2.58% -8.25% +0.52% LOSS
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $1.79 - -5.59% -5.59% -4.92% -7.82% +2.23% -2.23% +0.56% -
2022-12-21 09:25:00 $1.86 -1.08% -4.41% -2.69% -4.36% -1.61% +0.73% -3.23% -1.61% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $1.97 -2.95% -3.04% -2.03% -5.58% -12.69% +0.51% -4.57% -2.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.5% Baseline on TOUR

The 51.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TOUR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TOUR Strategy →

Why Analyze TOUR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOUR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOUR historically offers an average upside of +7.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOUR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.5%, TOUR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOUR performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.