Latest signal:
TPH Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-05 → 2024-03-21
⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TPH alerts reach +1.50% profit potential within 54 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, TPH typically reaches +1.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS
How TPH compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TPH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | 09:25:23 | $35.86 | +1.59% | +2.34% | +1.98% | +2.68% | +2.06% | +3.40% | +1.17% | +1.45% | WIN |
| 2022-05-05 | 09:25:00 | $22.18 | -1.96% | -1.13% | -1.74% | -2.68% | -4.78% | -0.41% | -2.71% | -2.16% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ TPH Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.19% average gain, TPH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TPH for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze TPH with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TPH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TPH historically offers an average upside of +1.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TPH Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TPH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TPH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: TPH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.19%). This suggests TPH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.