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TPR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS (SIC 3100)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 05, 2000 🔗 www.tapestry.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.61B 👥 Employees: 19,000
Based in New York City, Tapestry is the parent company of accessories and fashion brand Coach, which accounted for 80% of its revenue and well over 90% of its operating profit in fiscal 2025. Handbags accounted for 58% of the brand's fiscal 2025 revenue. Coach products are sold through more than 900 company-owned stores, e-commerce, and third-party stores in North America, Asia, and Europe. Tapestry also owns Kate Spade (17% of fiscal 2025 revenue), which operates about 170 stores and generated 52% of its sales from handbags in fiscal 2025. Kate Spade is known for its colorful patterns and graphics. Tapestry sold its smallest brand, luxury footwear maker Stuart Weitzman, to Caleres in August 2025.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.13%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 59.4%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -3.14%
Trades: 19/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +2.51%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 16/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -4.64%
Trades: 20/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +5.15%
Worst: -4.78%
Trades: 17/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +6.54%
Worst: -6.93%
Trades: 18/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.41%
Best MFE: +9.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 66 min

On average, TPR alerts reach +2.41% profit potential within 66 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.95%
Worst MAE: -6.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, TPR typically reaches +2.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 40.6%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS

How TPR compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TPR: +0.22% Sector: +0.04% +0.19%
EOD Gain
TPR: -0.13% Sector: -0.49% +0.36%
Avg MFE
TPR: +2.41% Sector: +2.49% -0.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TPR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:27:41 $87.61 -3.14% -2.98% -3.25% -4.78% -6.18% +0.89% -0.35% +0.16% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:28:12 $62.36 +0.17% +0.68% +1.06% +2.55% +3.56% +3.59% - +0.56% WIN
2024-11-27 09:26:05 $61.54 -0.37% -0.44% -0.63% -0.71% -1.01% +0.09% -0.75% -0.71% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:43 $58.06 - +1.86% +2.53% +1.19% +1.48% +2.81% -0.38% -0.05% -
2024-11-14 09:26:05 $55.5 -0.36% +1.81% +2.84% +3.14% +4.18% +5.39% -0.63% -0.41% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:02 $52.1 +0.04% -0.68% -0.40% -0.77% -1.06% +0.77% -0.23% -0.19% WIN
2024-10-25 09:25:24 $50.2 -1.28% +0.05% +1.68% +2.39% +0.58% +2.76% -3.39% -0.80% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:26:34 $42.02 +0.26% +0.40% -0.36% -0.83% +0.05% +0.71% -0.95% -0.43% WIN
2024-08-15 09:29:46 $40.5 -0.96% -3.48% -4.64% -4.57% -3.21% +2.52% +0.30% +0.59% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:25:04 $47.91 +0.17% -0.19% +0.21% +0.08% -1.92% +0.68% -0.61% -0.17% WIN
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $32.62 +1.23% +1.35% +0.95% +0.89% +1.23% +1.96% - - WIN
2023-09-27 09:27:00 $28.22 +0.02% -0.34% +0.43% +0.32% -0.96% +0.74% -0.43% - WIN
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $33.67 -0.95% -1.60% -2.11% -1.92% -1.96% -0.12% -0.50% -0.12% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:27:00 $34.72 +1.18% +0.78% +1.27% +1.18% -0.37% +1.67% -0.69% +0.35% WIN
2023-08-17 09:25:00 $33.87 +1.68% +1.08% +1.51% +2.21% +2.16% +3.04% -0.62% +0.56% WIN
2023-08-10 09:26:00 $37.25 +4.54% +0.21% -2.20% -1.75% -6.93% +4.97% -0.38% +2.52% WIN
2023-05-11 09:29:00 $39.75 -0.20% +1.51% +2.74% +1.35% +1.16% +3.54% -2.76% -1.26% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:27:00 $40.87 +1.81% +2.15% +1.71% +2.23% +1.52% +2.88% +1.25% +2.13% WIN
2023-02-09 09:25:00 $46.78 -2.46% -2.19% -3.12% -1.32% -4.42% - - -1.18% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:25:00 $42.58 +0.89% +0.73% +1.41% +1.46% +1.48% +2.63% -1.08% +0.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on TPR

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TPR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TPR Strategy →

Why Analyze TPR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TPR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TPR historically offers an average upside of +2.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TPR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, TPR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TPR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.