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TQQQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraPro QQQ
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2010
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
53.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +2.35%
Worst: -1.77%
Trades: 401/347

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +5.85%
Worst: -4.00%
Trades: 390/362

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +9.38%
Worst: -5.44%
Trades: 392/360

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +7.63%
Worst: -7.76%
Trades: 386/367

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.72%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +21.53%
Worst: -52.09%
Trades: 402/354

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.55%
Best MFE: +22.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 177 min

On average, TQQQ alerts reach +2.55% profit potential within 177 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.98%
Worst MAE: -10.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.98%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, TQQQ typically reaches +2.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 50.7%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TQQQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:06 $88.92 -0.12% -0.16% +0.09% +0.41% +1.02% +1.42% -0.36% -0.12% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:51 $85.96 +0.98% +0.24% +0.75% +1.42% +3.29% +3.48% -0.44% +0.02% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:46 $82.35 +0.35% +1.46% +1.32% +2.00% +3.46% +3.95% -0.30% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:41 $83.99 +0.66% +1.08% +1.22% +1.70% +1.24% +2.38% -0.04% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:22 $84.75 -0.18% +0.45% +0.35% +1.31% +1.05% +1.71% -0.29% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:20 $86.23 +0.81% +0.71% +0.28% -1.89% -4.06% +1.11% -0.19% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:50 $84.96 -0.48% -0.15% +0.27% +0.19% +1.24% +1.38% -0.90% - LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:05 $82.34 -0.07% +0.30% +0.22% +0.43% +2.91% +3.19% -0.70% +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:06 $80.96 -0.09% +0.99% +1.76% +2.94% +3.32% +3.68% -0.28% -0.06% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:19 $78.21 +0.55% +1.24% +0.51% +1.75% +3.21% +4.83% -1.11% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:29 $84.85 +0.90% +0.65% +1.12% +1.60% -2.51% +2.64% -0.08% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:20 $83.52 -0.48% -0.09% +0.26% -1.65% -0.42% +1.28% -0.79% -0.06% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:19 $83.19 -0.99% -1.43% -1.42% -1.79% -1.26% -0.06% -0.28% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:29 $79.48 -0.26% -1.55% -0.27% +2.54% +3.99% +4.64% -1.86% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:05 $77.48 +0.85% +2.35% +2.88% +3.05% +2.14% +4.58% -0.26% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:23 $88.41 -0.33% -0.19% +0.20% -0.68% -1.88% +0.48% -0.60% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:53 $86.48 -0.02% +0.23% -0.01% +0.10% +2.15% +2.27% -0.24% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:30 $86.74 +0.64% +0.43% +1.52% +1.36% +1.22% +2.50% -0.03% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:59 $84.31 -0.11% -1.07% -0.91% -0.80% +0.25% +1.00% -2.35% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:18 $83.46 -0.54% -1.43% -1.17% -1.85% -0.38% +0.65% +0.30% +0.28% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.0% Baseline on TQQQ

The 53.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TQQQ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TQQQ Strategy →

Why Analyze TQQQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TQQQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TQQQ historically offers an average upside of +2.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TQQQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.0%, TQQQ shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TQQQ performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.