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Latest signal:

TRGP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 40 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-09-09

⚠️ Small sample size (40 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Targa Resources Corp. NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION (SIC 4922)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 07, 2010 🔗 www.targaresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $41.11B 👥 Employees: 3,370
Targa Resources is a midstream firm that primarily operates gathering and processing assets with substantial positions in the Permian, Stack, Scoop, and Bakken plays. It has fractionation capacity at Mont Belvieu and operates a liquefied petroleum gas export terminal. The Grand Prix natural gas liquids pipeline is another important asset.
📊
40
Total Alerts
🎯
65.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +6.21%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 25/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +6.39%
Worst: -1.55%
Trades: 25/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 65.0%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +6.59%
Worst: -2.34%
Trades: 26/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -2.87%
Trades: 20/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +4.69%
Worst: -2.47%
Trades: 21/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.42%
Best MFE: +7.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, TRGP alerts reach +1.42% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.33%
Worst MAE: -5.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 40 alerts, TRGP typically reaches +1.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 40
Gap Up % 57.5%
Avg Gap +0.17%
Best Gap +6.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How TRGP compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TRGP: +0.24% Sector: -0.07% +0.31%
EOD Gain
TRGP: +0.17% Sector: -0.01% +0.17%
Avg MFE
TRGP: +1.42% Sector: +1.22% +0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TRGP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-09 09:26:02 $146.75 +0.51% +0.31% -0.99% -0.75% -1.92% +1.01% +0.17% +0.45% WIN
2024-08-06 09:26:53 $128.0 +1.09% +1.72% +2.64% +3.15% +2.83% +4.48% +0.34% +0.83% WIN
2024-05-03 09:25:46 $113.76 -0.68% -1.07% -1.12% -2.30% -1.27% -0.38% -0.68% -0.45% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:27:15 $112.95 +0.98% +0.19% +0.18% -0.18% -0.48% +1.32% +0.73% +0.81% WIN
2024-04-26 09:28:39 $117.6 -0.52% -0.45% -1.21% -0.83% -0.63% -0.17% -0.50% -0.23% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:29:56 $116.8 -1.36% -1.08% -0.67% -0.27% +0.09% +0.16% -1.54% -1.15% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:25:25 $111.71 +0.42% +1.17% +1.15% +1.58% +1.08% +2.00% +0.26% +0.29% WIN
2024-04-17 09:26:49 $113.85 +0.33% +0.06% +0.17% -0.06% -1.42% +0.48% -0.14% +0.37% WIN
2024-04-12 09:29:20 $116.13 +0.91% +0.90% +0.59% +1.19% -1.24% +1.27% -0.27% +0.13% WIN
2024-04-10 09:25:45 $113.5 -0.03% +0.41% +1.17% +1.77% +1.04% +1.92% -0.25% +0.26% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:29:23 $114.5 +0.15% +0.07% +0.19% +0.37% +1.28% +1.41% -0.13% +0.44% WIN
2024-04-03 09:28:04 $113.85 +0.48% +1.15% +0.46% +0.57% +1.89% +2.00% +0.13% +0.25% WIN
2024-03-28 09:29:29 $110.66 +0.80% -0.01% +0.11% +0.42% +1.20% +1.47% -0.09% +1.00% WIN
2024-03-26 09:28:36 $112.45 -0.99% -1.15% -1.26% -1.14% -1.60% -0.68% -1.05% -0.76% LOSS
2024-03-18 09:28:28 $105.97 +0.62% +0.41% +0.58% +0.55% +1.31% +1.39% +0.07% +0.53% WIN
2024-02-06 09:25:07 $85.83 -0.16% +0.15% -0.02% +0.23% +0.45% +0.57% -0.49% -0.10% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:29:00 $90.35 -0.79% -0.39% -0.99% -2.15% -2.47% +0.32% -1.39% -0.27% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:29:00 $86.4 +0.13% +0.44% +0.14% -0.01% -1.05% +0.62% +0.03% +0.60% WIN
2023-09-06 09:25:00 $86.85 -0.98% -0.75% -0.89% -1.32% -2.10% -0.33% -1.74% -0.83% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:27:00 $82.21 +1.05% +1.27% +2.17% +2.93% +0.32% +3.76% +0.05% +0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 65.0% Baseline on TRGP

The 65.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TRGP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TRGP Strategy →

Why Analyze TRGP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TRGP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TRGP historically offers an average upside of +1.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TRGP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 65.0%, TRGP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TRGP performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.