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TRN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-03 → 2022-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Trinity Industries, Inc. RAILROAD EQUIPMENT (SIC 3743)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.trin.net
💰 Market Cap: $2.17B 👥 Employees: 7,380
Trinity Industries Inc. sells and leases railroad products and railcar maintenance services in North America. The company operates under the name TrinityRail in three main segments: railcar leasing and management services, which owns railcars and provides fleet management and administration services; rail products, which builds, sells, and modifies freight and tank railcars and their components; and all other, which sells highway products such as guardrail and other highway barriers. Customers include railroads, leasing companies, and shipping companies in agriculture, construction, consumer products, energy, and chemicals.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.48%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.31%
Worst: +0.31%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.72%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: +0.72%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.07%
Best: -0.07%
Worst: -0.07%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: +0.41%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: -0.10%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.48%
Best MFE: +1.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, TRN alerts reach +1.48% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -0.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 36 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, TRN typically reaches +1.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap -0.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RAILROAD EQUIPMENT

How TRN compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TRN: +0.31% Sector: -0.33% +0.64%
EOD Gain
TRN: -0.10% Sector: +0.46% -0.56%
Avg MFE
TRN: +1.48% Sector: +2.34% -0.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TRN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-02-03 09:25:00 $29.15 +0.31% +0.72% -0.07% +0.41% -0.10% +1.48% -0.48% -0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TRN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TRN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TRN Strategy →

Why Analyze TRN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TRN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TRN historically offers an average upside of +1.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TRN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TRN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TRN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.