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TROW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-17

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

T Rowe Price Group Inc INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 09, 1986 🔗 www.troweprice.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.05B 👥 Employees: 7,830
T. Rowe Price provides asset management services for individual and institutional investors. It offers a broad range of no-load US and international stock, hybrid, bond, and money market funds. At the end of September, the firm had $1.767 trillion in managed assets, composed of equity (50%), balanced (35%), fixed-income and money market (12%), and alternative (3%) offerings. Approximately two-thirds of managed assets are held in retirement-based accounts, which provides T. Rowe Price with a somewhat stickier client base than most of its peers. The firm also manages private accounts, provides retirement planning advice, and offers discount brokerage and trust services. The company is primarily a US-based asset manager, deriving less than 10% of its AUM from overseas.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
45.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.14%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +0.49%
Worst: -1.43%
Trades: 3/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 5/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +0.73%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 4/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +0.40%
Worst: -1.04%
Trades: 3/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +2.53%
Worst: -3.19%
Trades: 3/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.90%
Best MFE: +2.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, TROW alerts reach +0.90% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -2.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.46:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, TROW typically reaches +0.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 27.3%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +0.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How TROW compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TROW: -0.28% Sector: -0.13% -0.15%
EOD Gain
TROW: -0.79% Sector: +3.47% -4.26%
Avg MFE
TROW: +0.90% Sector: +1.91% -1.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TROW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-17 09:25:37 $119.28 -0.56% -0.56% -0.41% -0.57% -1.17% -0.16% -0.96% -0.87% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:29:37 $124.01 +0.26% +0.25% +0.03% +0.01% +0.12% +0.66% +0.30% +0.66% WIN
2024-11-21 09:28:24 $118.41 -0.27% -0.95% -1.12% -1.04% -0.19% +0.37% -1.28% -0.19% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $107.11 +0.16% -0.37% -0.47% -0.05% -0.77% +0.89% -0.49% -0.33% WIN
2023-01-03 09:29:00 $110.73 -0.40% +0.68% +0.16% -0.59% -1.43% +1.37% -0.31% -0.01% LOSS
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $122.81 -1.43% -1.25% -0.95% -0.41% -1.88% -0.29% -2.01% -1.43% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $133.8 -0.37% +0.34% -0.13% -0.75% +2.53% +2.60% -1.58% +0.15% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $144.0 +0.49% +0.84% +0.69% +0.40% +0.10% +1.33% -0.37% +0.22% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $149.0 -0.45% -0.58% -0.09% -0.10% -3.19% +0.79% +0.79% -0.15% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $151.46 -0.46% +0.15% +0.73% +0.37% -2.40% +1.83% -0.66% -0.27% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $151.85 -0.05% -0.06% -0.59% -0.96% -0.38% +0.52% -0.19% -0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TROW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.5% win rate and -0.14% average gain, TROW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TROW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TROW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TROW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TROW historically offers an average upside of +0.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TROW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, TROW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TROW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TROW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.14%). This suggests TROW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.