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TSDD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 112 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-25 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 22, 2023
📊
112
Total Alerts
🎯
67.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+699.72%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.57%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +4.21%
Worst: -5.98%
Trades: 50/58

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +8.84%
Worst: -6.05%
Trades: 50/60

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -3.16%
Best: +11.91%
Worst: -9.01%
Trades: 55/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +3.23%
Avg Loser: -3.77%
Best: +11.86%
Worst: -10.91%
Trades: 54/56

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 67.0%
Avg Gain: +699.72%
Avg Winner: +1047.79%
Avg Loser: -6.01%
Best: +2142.42%
Worst: -20.77%
Trades: 75/36

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.15%
Best MFE: +21.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, TSDD alerts reach +5.15% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.11%
Worst MAE: -12.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 112 alerts, TSDD typically reaches +5.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 112
Gap Up % 38.4%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSDD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:17 $37.9 +1.58% +3.83% +4.49% +4.72% +2.85% +7.70% -0.47% +0.26% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:19 $46.18 -1.54% -4.44% -3.70% -5.61% -4.72% -0.17% -2.25% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:30 $42.2 +0.85% +0.24% -0.07% +1.35% +9.60% +11.55% -1.73% +0.57% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:34 $39.99 -0.50% +1.50% +0.05% -2.59% +2.75% +2.90% -3.60% -0.43% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:29 $37.08 -3.39% -2.86% -3.49% -1.51% +4.61% +5.15% -5.34% +0.13% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:20 $36.53 +0.96% +2.52% +3.67% +2.27% -0.85% +4.93% -1.15% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:24 $34.48 -0.12% -1.76% -1.42% -0.64% -3.92% +1.74% -3.13% +1.19% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:26 $34.07 -0.21% +0.53% +2.52% +1.56% +1.53% +5.90% -0.76% +0.29% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:06 $30.4 +1.06% +6.92% +11.91% +8.95% +5.33% +14.54% -1.58% -0.20% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:07 $33.64 -4.34% -3.66% -6.03% -4.01% -3.00% +0.74% -7.22% -2.02% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:10 $30.57 +0.95% -2.78% -0.07% -0.10% +10.08% +10.99% -3.62% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:09 $1.73 -1.45% -1.14% +0.58% +1.21% +1865.32% +3.35% -4.05% - LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:29 $1.71 -1.17% -1.77% -1.75% -0.59% +1876.61% +2.92% -4.68% +0.58% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:57 $1.62 -1.23% -3.08% -1.85% +2.01% +1998.77% +6.79% -4.73% - LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:19 $1.49 - +0.67% +0.34% +2.01% +5.37% +10.07% -2.68% -1.34% -
2025-01-03 09:26:38 $1.85 -0.81% -2.38% -3.51% -0.55% -14.59% +1.60% - +0.54% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:06 $1.8 +3.33% +1.67% +0.28% +3.97% +1988.89% +7.22% -1.67% -0.56% WIN
2024-12-31 09:26:42 $1.53 +0.65% +3.59% +0.56% -0.32% +9.80% +10.46% -2.60% - WIN
2024-12-30 09:29:23 $1.56 -1.28% -0.72% +0.64% +0.64% +1912.82% +1.88% -3.85% +0.64% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:27:42 $1.38 +0.72% +2.54% +2.92% +6.96% +2030.43% +9.42% -0.72% -0.72% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 67.0% Baseline on TSDD

The 67.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSDD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSDD Strategy →

Why Analyze TSDD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSDD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSDD historically offers an average upside of +5.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSDD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 67.0%, TSDD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSDD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +699.72%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.