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TSHA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-25 → 2024-11-13

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 2020 🔗 www.tayshagtx.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.28B 👥 Employees: 73
Taysha Gene Therapies Inc is a patient-centric gene therapy company to eradicate monogenic CNS disease. It is focused on developing and commercializing AAV-based gene therapies for the treatment of monogenic diseases of the CNS in both rare and large patient populations. The company develops and commercializes transformative gene therapy treatments. Its product pipeline includes, TSHA-102 which is a is a self-complementary intrathecally delivered AAV9 gene transfer therapy in clinical evaluation for Rett syndrome.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
43.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.76%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.6%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +11.34%
Worst: -9.74%
Trades: 13/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.4%
Avg Gain: -1.48%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -4.44%
Best: +10.53%
Worst: -15.00%
Trades: 11/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.6%
Avg Gain: -2.02%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -6.03%
Best: +9.20%
Worst: -17.50%
Trades: 13/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -2.93%
Avg Winner: +3.65%
Avg Loser: -6.87%
Best: +15.80%
Worst: -20.66%
Trades: 12/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: +1.16%
Avg Winner: +12.90%
Avg Loser: -7.97%
Best: +42.00%
Worst: -21.84%
Trades: 14/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.76%
Best MFE: +47.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, TSHA alerts reach +9.76% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.42%
Worst MAE: -14.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, TSHA typically reaches +9.76% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 31.2%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +4.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How TSHA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TSHA: -0.56% Sector: -0.41% -0.14%
EOD Gain
TSHA: +1.16% Sector: +1233.50% -1232.34%
Avg MFE
TSHA: +9.76% Sector: +6.69% +3.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSHA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-13 09:27:12 $2.53 -1.19% -6.72% -9.49% -9.88% -12.65% - -1.19% -2.37% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:27:33 $2.08 -0.35% +0.24% +6.01% +0.99% +14.90% +16.83% -2.88% - LOSS
2024-06-26 09:26:58 $2.2 +1.80% -4.09% -5.45% -10.45% -7.27% +2.73% -1.82% +1.82% WIN
2024-06-18 09:25:34 $3.8 -9.74% -15.00% -17.50% -20.66% -21.84% +0.79% +0.79% -0.53% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:27:30 $2.91 +11.34% +6.70% +6.84% +5.50% +1.72% +13.40% +0.34% +1.37% WIN
2024-03-21 09:29:41 $3.04 +5.27% +10.53% +2.30% +2.14% +1.97% +12.83% -0.66% -0.66% WIN
2024-03-20 09:25:55 $2.86 +1.05% -1.40% +0.70% -5.94% +3.50% +11.06% -3.15% +3.15% WIN
2024-02-29 09:27:44 $2.71 -1.66% +2.95% +1.84% +0.74% +16.61% +21.03% -5.90% - LOSS
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $1.7 -1.77% -5.29% -8.24% -5.88% -7.65% +1.18% -2.35% -2.35% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:29:00 $2.36 +2.12% -1.27% -1.27% -3.81% -6.14% +4.33% +2.97% +2.97% WIN
2023-09-18 09:25:00 $3.35 +1.04% +1.79% +1.19% -3.58% -7.46% +4.46% +0.30% +0.60% WIN
2023-09-14 09:26:00 $2.99 +3.68% +3.34% +3.68% +4.18% +13.04% +12.71% -1.00% -0.33% WIN
2023-08-31 09:25:00 $3.45 -2.43% -4.63% -7.25% -8.70% -7.25% +0.58% - -4.06% LOSS
2023-08-30 09:26:00 $3.42 -2.63% -6.43% -7.02% -7.64% -4.09% +3.80% -9.06% +2.05% LOSS
2023-08-29 09:27:00 $2.5 +1.08% +4.80% +9.20% +15.80% +35.20% +38.00% -2.40% - WIN
2023-08-25 09:29:00 $2.35 -3.38% -5.11% -7.23% -5.07% -5.53% +0.43% - - LOSS
2023-08-24 09:25:00 $2.64 -1.52% -11.73% -8.71% -12.50% -11.36% +2.65% -2.65% -0.76% LOSS
2023-08-23 09:25:00 $2.12 -3.30% -1.65% -0.47% -1.42% +4.72% +7.55% -5.66% -5.66% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:28:00 $1.84 -5.43% -4.35% -3.72% +1.09% +4.35% +8.15% -7.07% -0.54% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:28:00 $1.97 +10.66% +8.57% +5.58% -0.59% -4.57% +15.74% -1.02% +1.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 43.8% Baseline on TSHA

The 43.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSHA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSHA Strategy →

Why Analyze TSHA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSHA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSHA historically offers an average upside of +9.76% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSHA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.8%, TSHA shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSHA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.