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Latest signal:

TSLL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 591 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-10 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 09, 2022
📊
591
Total Alerts
🎯
50.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +4.71%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 280/303

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -9.70%
Trades: 279/304

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +11.20%
Worst: -10.88%
Trades: 281/305

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +9.62%
Worst: -10.69%
Trades: 289/297

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.1%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.89%
Avg Loser: -3.81%
Best: +15.23%
Worst: -19.37%
Trades: 296/294

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.63%
Best MFE: +19.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, TSLL alerts reach +3.63% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.37%
Worst MAE: -9.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 591 alerts, TSLL typically reaches +3.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 591
Gap Up % 38.1%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSLL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:48 $20.86 -1.61% -4.58% -4.12% -4.65% -3.02% +0.29% -1.97% -0.46% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:06 $19.24 +1.04% +1.00% +1.14% +4.39% +5.35% +6.81% -1.95% -0.78% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:42 $17.45 +0.80% +4.81% +2.38% +5.21% +4.07% +10.09% -0.17% +0.29% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:23 $19.35 -0.96% +0.16% -0.41% -1.46% -10.34% +1.81% -1.68% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:20 $20.56 -0.24% -2.97% -0.85% +2.58% -3.36% +3.40% -3.45% -0.29% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:57 $22.17 +3.56% +2.98% +3.60% +1.67% -4.69% +5.68% -0.18% +0.05% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:25 $22.53 -0.93% -2.71% -3.57% -2.43% +0.80% +1.38% -0.36% +0.13% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:27:04 $24.33 -1.32% -1.16% -1.36% -3.16% -4.64% +0.66% -1.23% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:45 $23.82 +0.25% +2.43% +2.77% +0.67% +4.83% +5.73% -0.76% -0.13% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:17 $24.34 -0.70% -0.66% -2.60% -1.16% -1.56% +1.27% -0.78% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:40 $26.14 +1.76% +5.22% +6.27% +7.73% +2.14% +9.87% -0.04% +0.69% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:32 $27.47 -3.45% -7.03% -10.88% -8.95% -4.70% +0.87% -0.58% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:12 $25.6 -0.39% -1.17% -0.39% -1.72% -3.40% +1.48% -0.78% -0.20% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:28 $25.78 -2.52% -5.08% -2.64% -1.98% +0.62% +1.86% -5.24% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:13 $25.42 +2.41% +3.48% +5.19% +4.25% +1.57% +6.53% -0.39% +0.20% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:41 $28.18 -0.71% +0.18% +0.96% -0.18% -3.87% +1.60% -1.35% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:17 $28.43 +0.98% -0.60% -1.37% -0.84% -1.86% +2.08% -0.49% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:09 $28.51 +2.81% +2.88% +0.85% +2.72% -0.74% +5.51% -0.30% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:18 $30.88 -6.64% -9.70% -9.59% -9.79% -4.37% -0.26% -0.42% -0.36% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:28 $29.36 +0.87% +0.75% +1.33% +2.74% +1.87% +7.94% -1.26% -0.34% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.1% Baseline on TSLL

The 50.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSLL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSLL Strategy →

Why Analyze TSLL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSLL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSLL historically offers an average upside of +3.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSLL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.1%, TSLL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSLL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.