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TSLS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 216 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-10 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 09, 2022
📊
216
Total Alerts
🎯
47.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.13%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +3.00%
Worst: -2.34%
Trades: 98/110

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +6.05%
Worst: -4.22%
Trades: 98/113

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +5.99%
Worst: -5.70%
Trades: 102/111

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +5.45%
Worst: -6.38%
Trades: 100/113

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.47%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +10.24%
Worst: -9.65%
Trades: 101/115

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.35%
Best MFE: +10.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, TSLS alerts reach +2.35% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.02%
Worst MAE: -5.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 216 alerts, TSLS typically reaches +2.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 216
Gap Up % 47.2%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSLS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:20 $8.74 +0.51% +1.77% +2.00% +2.23% +1.37% +3.74% -0.29% - WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:13 $9.12 -0.66% -0.60% -0.77% -2.47% -3.07% +0.93% +0.22% +0.33% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:32 $9.63 -1.45% -2.86% -1.91% -2.79% -2.60% +0.21% - -0.42% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:36 $9.18 -0.43% -0.54% +0.38% +0.54% +4.79% +5.77% -1.05% +0.11% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:03 $8.9 +0.56% +1.24% +0.54% -1.23% +1.69% +1.80% -1.57% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:20 $8.58 -1.05% -1.05% -1.57% -0.47% +2.33% +2.74% -2.62% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:02 $8.52 +0.41% +1.51% +1.64% +1.32% -0.23% +2.58% -0.59% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:40 $8.23 +0.55% +0.49% +0.55% +1.31% +2.19% +2.79% -0.38% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:16 $8.27 -0.24% -0.85% -0.85% -0.24% -1.93% +0.97% -1.57% +0.60% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:46 $8.23 - +0.06% +1.09% +0.97% +0.61% +2.98% -0.49% +0.12% -
2025-01-31 09:26:20 $7.96 -1.38% -2.69% -3.02% -3.83% -1.13% - - -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:31 $7.76 +1.68% +3.87% +5.99% +4.90% +2.71% +6.89% -0.64% -0.13% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:35 $8.06 -0.12% +0.62% +0.50% +1.18% +1.99% +2.85% -0.50% +0.25% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:57 $8.04 +1.37% +2.11% +1.37% +0.81% -0.25% +2.55% - +0.12% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:15 $8.15 -1.78% -1.84% -3.07% -2.02% -1.47% +0.40% -3.62% -0.74% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:23 $7.66 -0.65% -1.31% -0.59% -1.46% +0.26% +0.39% -2.74% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:22 $7.34 +3.00% +5.18% +5.45% +5.45% +2.45% +6.76% +0.07% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-16 09:26:44 $7.53 +1.06% +1.39% +1.35% +1.99% +2.52% +3.45% - +0.13% WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:00 $7.83 +0.22% -0.64% -0.77% -1.85% -4.73% +1.15% -0.38% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:39 $7.73 +0.32% -1.34% +0.63% +0.13% +4.79% +5.32% -1.81% +0.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TSLS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.4% win rate and -0.13% average gain, TSLS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TSLS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TSLS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSLS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSLS historically offers an average upside of +2.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSLS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, TSLS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TSLS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TSLS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.13%). This suggests TSLS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.