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Latest signal:

TSLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 267 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-22 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 23, 2022
📊
267
Total Alerts
🎯
61.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+24.19%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 107/149

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +4.07%
Worst: -4.05%
Trades: 121/139

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +6.14%
Worst: -4.66%
Trades: 115/143

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +4.83%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 117/141

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.8%
Avg Gain: +24.19%
Avg Winner: +40.25%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +108.29%
Worst: -9.52%
Trades: 165/101

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.39%
Best MFE: +8.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, TSLY alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -3.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 267 alerts, TSLY typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 267
Gap Up % 34.8%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:17 $12.13 -0.74% -1.56% -1.69% -1.81% -0.99% +0.08% - +0.08% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:27 $11.72 - +0.60% +0.43% +1.80% +2.22% +2.64% -0.85% -0.09% -
2025-02-12 09:26:24 $11.16 +1.61% +2.24% +1.61% +2.24% +2.33% +4.93% -0.18% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:36 $11.74 - +0.21% -0.68% -0.77% -5.20% +0.60% -0.94% -0.34% -
2025-02-10 09:28:02 $12.09 -0.78% -1.08% -0.82% +0.66% -1.90% +1.24% -1.90% -0.25% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:08 $12.46 +1.04% +1.04% +1.20% +0.40% -2.17% +1.92% -0.40% -0.40% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:06 $12.52 -0.24% -1.20% -1.75% -1.21% +0.16% +0.48% -0.16% -0.08% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:35 $12.96 -0.77% -0.81% -0.39% -1.62% -2.24% +0.23% -0.23% +0.23% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:46 $12.89 -0.23% +0.85% +0.46% - +1.55% +1.90% -1.07% -0.93% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:41 $12.94 -0.54% -0.54% -1.55% -0.85% -1.00% +0.23% -0.46% - LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:08 $13.33 +0.97% +2.09% +2.44% +2.36% +0.60% +3.38% -0.15% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:58 $13.53 -1.26% -2.96% -4.66% -3.70% -1.92% +0.22% -0.30% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:24 $13.08 -0.92% -2.14% -1.30% -0.61% +0.08% +0.54% -2.29% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:14 $12.94 +0.85% +1.55% +2.32% +1.82% +1.00% +2.94% +0.08% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:51 $13.54 -0.22% -0.07% +0.15% -0.04% -1.70% +0.43% -0.66% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:43 $13.55 +0.44% -0.29% -0.63% -0.44% -0.74% +0.96% -0.22% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:15 $14.29 +0.84% +0.90% +0.04% +0.84% -0.42% +1.82% -0.42% -0.42% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:58 $14.7 -2.52% -4.05% -4.12% -3.81% -1.63% +0.07% -1.19% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:24 $14.42 +0.07% +0.31% +0.55% +0.85% +0.49% +2.91% -0.42% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:03 $14.46 -0.97% -1.27% -1.18% -1.80% -1.94% +0.14% -0.76% +0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.8% Baseline on TSLY

The 61.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSLY Strategy →

Why Analyze TSLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSLY historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.8%, TSLY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSLY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +24.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.