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TSLZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 155 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-02-13 → 2024-12-13

🏢 Company Profile

T-Rex 2X Inverse Tesla Daily Target ETF
📍 CBOE BZX 📅 IPO: Dec 16, 2024
📊
155
Total Alerts
🎯
49.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.35%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.5%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +5.01%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 69/83

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +8.61%
Worst: -6.33%
Trades: 71/84

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +2.68%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +7.56%
Worst: -9.31%
Trades: 68/85

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -3.50%
Best: +10.69%
Worst: -9.85%
Trades: 74/81

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.7%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -4.94%
Best: +19.49%
Worst: -20.97%
Trades: 77/77

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.31%
Best MFE: +19.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, TSLZ alerts reach +4.31% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.85%
Worst MAE: -9.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 155 alerts, TSLZ typically reaches +4.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 155
Gap Up % 43.9%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +2.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSLZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:27:54 $2.56 +0.78% -0.39% -1.57% -3.79% -7.81% +2.34% - +0.39% WIN
2024-12-12 09:27:25 $2.51 +0.40% +2.59% +2.19% +0.59% +2.79% +4.78% -1.99% +0.40% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:55 $2.73 +0.73% +1.43% +2.38% -0.99% -7.69% +3.66% -0.71% - WIN
2024-12-10 09:28:58 $2.98 -2.68% -4.37% -4.03% -6.04% -4.36% +0.84% -0.67% -0.34% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:37 $2.9 -2.14% +1.21% -0.17% +4.87% +4.48% +10.69% -2.41% - LOSS
2024-12-06 09:28:07 $3.26 +0.96% +1.38% +1.84% +1.63% -7.06% +3.37% -0.31% -0.31% WIN
2024-12-05 09:28:50 $3.58 -3.63% -5.86% -6.84% -7.68% -5.31% +0.28% -1.96% - LOSS
2024-12-04 09:26:52 $3.71 +2.14% +2.16% +0.88% +1.75% -1.89% +3.23% -0.03% +0.54% WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:23 $3.77 -0.80% -0.80% -1.03% -0.29% -0.27% +1.59% -2.60% -0.27% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:12 $3.76 -3.46% -1.60% -1.59% -2.66% -2.66% +0.40% -3.99% - LOSS
2024-11-29 09:28:29 $4.13 +0.08% -1.33% -2.15% -2.96% -5.08% +1.09% +0.24% +0.24% WIN
2024-11-27 09:29:02 $4.01 +0.72% +1.28% +1.37% +7.36% +5.24% +9.23% -0.50% +0.25% WIN
2024-11-26 09:27:26 $4.06 -1.72% -1.03% -0.49% -2.22% +0.99% +2.46% -4.19% -0.49% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:58 $3.62 +2.49% +1.41% +5.59% +6.35% +12.71% +15.19% -0.78% +0.28% WIN
2024-11-22 09:25:00 $4.07 -0.25% +0.25% +1.11% -1.94% -7.13% +1.97% -1.69% -0.25% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:27:18 $4.01 -0.75% +1.12% -0.75% +2.46% +2.24% +4.79% -2.74% -0.37% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:25:57 $3.98 -0.25% +2.79% +2.01% +3.77% +1.51% +6.03% -1.00% -0.50% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:25:04 $4.23 -0.47% -1.67% -1.30% -4.73% -6.62% +0.95% -1.18% -0.47% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:25:19 $4.07 +2.70% -2.48% +0.00% -2.83% +1.23% +7.62% -5.41% -0.25% WIN
2024-11-15 09:29:16 $4.96 -3.53% -2.32% -4.64% -2.07% -6.45% +1.19% -3.63% +0.20% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TSLZ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.7% win rate and -0.35% average gain, TSLZ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TSLZ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TSLZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSLZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSLZ historically offers an average upside of +4.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSLZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.7%, TSLZ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TSLZ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TSLZ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.35%). This suggests TSLZ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.